Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's September 21 maximum near 26–29 °C, with the tightest clustering around 27–28 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 40–60 % chance of light rain or thunderstorms. Northerly flow and elevated humidity are expected to limit insolation and convective mixing, while any timing or intensity shifts in the rain could add or subtract 1–2 °C from the peak. Historical September highs average near 26 °C, so the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (26 °C at 23 %, 28 °C at 21 %, 27 °C at 15.5 %) mirrors remaining model disagreement on cloud cover and precipitation timing ahead of the next update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日の武漢の最高気温は?
25°C 27%
26℃ 25%
28℃ 19%
27°C 16%
24℃以下
12%
25°C
27%
26℃
27%
27°C
16%
28℃
19%
29℃
9%
30℃
3%
31℃
3%
32℃
2%
33℃
2%
34℃以上
1%
25°C 27%
26℃ 25%
28℃ 19%
27°C 16%
24℃以下
12%
25°C
27%
26℃
27%
27°C
16%
28℃
19%
29℃
9%
30℃
3%
31℃
3%
32℃
2%
33℃
2%
34℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's September 21 maximum near 26–29 °C, with the tightest clustering around 27–28 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 40–60 % chance of light rain or thunderstorms. Northerly flow and elevated humidity are expected to limit insolation and convective mixing, while any timing or intensity shifts in the rain could add or subtract 1–2 °C from the peak. Historical September highs average near 26 °C, so the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (26 °C at 23 %, 28 °C at 21 %, 27 °C at 15.5 %) mirrors remaining model disagreement on cloud cover and precipitation timing ahead of the next update cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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