Traders assign roughly equal 50% implied probabilities to a highest temperature of 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C or higher in Karachi on May 19 because official readings from the Pakistan Meteorological Department typically cluster in this narrow band during late May, when daytime maxima are shaped by Arabian Sea moisture, light sea breezes, and urban heat-island effects around the recording station. Regional forecast models show afternoon peaks sensitive to minor changes in cloud cover and wind speed, any of which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C and push the outcome across resolution thresholds. Historical May averages near 32 °C provide a baseline, yet the market reflects uncertainty over exact local conditions on that date rather than a clear directional signal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Karachi on May 19?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 19?
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$235 Vol.
$235 Vol.
2026/05/19
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$235 Vol.
$235 Vol.
2026/05/19
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
No
24°C
$5 Vol.
No
25°C
$5 Vol.
No
26°C
$5 Vol.
No
27°C
$5 Vol.
No
28°C
$5 Vol.
No
29°C
$37 Vol.
No
30°C
$37 Vol.
No
31°C
$37 Vol.
No
32°C
$47 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$47 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign roughly equal 50% implied probabilities to a highest temperature of 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C or higher in Karachi on May 19 because official readings from the Pakistan Meteorological Department typically cluster in this narrow band during late May, when daytime maxima are shaped by Arabian Sea moisture, light sea breezes, and urban heat-island effects around the recording station. Regional forecast models show afternoon peaks sensitive to minor changes in cloud cover and wind speed, any of which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C and push the outcome across resolution thresholds. Historical May averages near 32 °C provide a baseline, yet the market reflects uncertainty over exact local conditions on that date rather than a clear directional signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 19, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
音量
$235終了日
2026/05/19マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 6:53 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign roughly equal 50% implied probabilities to a highest temperature of 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C or higher in Karachi on May 19 because official readings from the Pakistan Meteorological Department typically cluster in this narrow band during late May, when daytime maxima are shaped by Arabian Sea moisture, light sea breezes, and urban heat-island effects around the recording station. Regional forecast models show afternoon peaks sensitive to minor changes in cloud cover and wind speed, any of which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C and push the outcome across resolution thresholds. Historical May averages near 32 °C provide a baseline, yet the market reflects uncertainty over exact local conditions on that date rather than a clear directional signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$235終了日
2026/05/19マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 6:53 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Traders assign roughly equal 50% implied probabilities to a highest temperature of 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C or higher in Karachi on May 19 because official readings from the Pakistan Meteorological Department typically cluster in this narrow band during late May, when daytime maxima are shaped by Arabian Sea moisture, light sea breezes, and urban heat-island effects around the recording station. Regional forecast models show afternoon peaks sensitive to minor changes in cloud cover and wind speed, any of which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C and push the outcome across resolution thresholds. Historical May averages near 32 °C provide a baseline, yet the market reflects uncertainty over exact local conditions on that date rather than a clear directional signal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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