Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Karachi on May 6?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 6?
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$18,198 Vol.
$18,198 Vol.
2026/05/06
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
Yes
37°C or higher 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$18,198 Vol.
$18,198 Vol.
2026/05/06
27°C or below
$506 Vol.
No
28°C
$803 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,540 Vol.
No
30°C
$674 Vol.
No
31°C
$573 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,423 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,440 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,496 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,958 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,937 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$2,847 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 12:25 PM ET
音量
$18,198終了日
2026/05/06マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 12:25 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$18,198終了日
2026/05/06マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 12:25 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department observations confirm Karachi's hottest day of 2026 so far on May 4, with maximums reaching 44.1°C amid an intense heatwave driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry continental air advection. Forecasts for May 6 indicate a modest cooldown to 36–38°C per PMD outlooks and global models like ECMWF and GFS, as strengthening sea breezes from the Arabian Sea moderate afternoon peaks and potential afternoon clouds increase. This model spread, compounded by coastal humidity influencing heat index but capping raw temperatures, fuels trader consensus around closely matched 35–37°C outcomes at 20–30% implied probabilities each. New PMD updates and model runs by May 5 could sharpen resolution criteria based on airport station readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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