National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 87.1°F around 2 PM EDT, with subsequent hours at 86°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F bin as markets near resolution. This aligns with hourly METAR data from NOAA, the authoritative source for such measurements, amid south-southeast winds and partly cloudy skies that capped daytime heating below pre-event model forecasts of 89°F. Historical May 1 averages hover near 85°F, making this slightly above normal but short of records. Final daily climatological reports could prompt minor revisions if late-afternoon peaks emerge or quality control adjusts readings, though such changes are rare for established highs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月1日のマイアミの最高気温は?
86〜87°F 100.0%
77°F以下 <1%
78〜79°F <1%
80~81°F <1%
$128,399 Vol.
$128,399 Vol.
77°F以下
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80~81°F
いいえ
82~83°F
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
はい
88〜89°F
いいえ
90〜91°F
いいえ
92〜93°F
いいえ
94〜95°F
いいえ
96°F以上
いいえ
86〜87°F 100.0%
77°F以下 <1%
78〜79°F <1%
80~81°F <1%
$128,399 Vol.
$128,399 Vol.
77°F以下
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80~81°F
いいえ
82~83°F
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
はい
88〜89°F
いいえ
90〜91°F
いいえ
92〜93°F
いいえ
94〜95°F
いいえ
96°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 87.1°F around 2 PM EDT, with subsequent hours at 86°F, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F bin as markets near resolution. This aligns with hourly METAR data from NOAA, the authoritative source for such measurements, amid south-southeast winds and partly cloudy skies that capped daytime heating below pre-event model forecasts of 89°F. Historical May 1 averages hover near 85°F, making this slightly above normal but short of records. Final daily climatological reports could prompt minor revisions if late-afternoon peaks emerge or quality control adjusts readings, though such changes are rare for established highs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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