National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on May 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 2?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$166,472 Vol.
$166,472 Vol.
2026/05/02
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$166,472 Vol.
$166,472 Vol.
2026/05/02
83°F or below
$5,047 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$7,928 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$7,776 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$21,924 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$22,918 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$23,342 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$27,561 Vol.
Yes
96-97°F
$20,128 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$7,801 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$10,572 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$11,475 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$166,472終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$166,472終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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