Recent forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and international models point to a maximum of 29–30°C in Munich on August 12 under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds, supporting the market's strong tilt toward the 30°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability. A weakening high-pressure ridge is allowing modest warming from recent days near 33°C, while clear conditions and low cloud cover favor peak daytime heating near the upper end of seasonal norms for mid-August. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with any shift to 31°C or higher requiring stronger subsidence or reduced mixing that current runs do not strongly indicate. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
30℃ 45%
31°C 25%
29℃ 23%
32°C 9%
$11,291 Vol.
$11,291 Vol.
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29℃
23%
30℃
45%
31°C
25%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35℃
<1%
36°C以上
<1%
30℃ 45%
31°C 25%
29℃ 23%
32°C 9%
$11,291 Vol.
$11,291 Vol.
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29℃
23%
30℃
45%
31°C
25%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35℃
<1%
36°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and international models point to a maximum of 29–30°C in Munich on August 12 under mostly sunny skies with light easterly winds, supporting the market's strong tilt toward the 30°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability. A weakening high-pressure ridge is allowing modest warming from recent days near 33°C, while clear conditions and low cloud cover favor peak daytime heating near the upper end of seasonal norms for mid-August. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with any shift to 31°C or higher requiring stronger subsidence or reduced mixing that current runs do not strongly indicate. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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