Forecast models from agencies like the DWD and ECMWF currently indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Munich on June 24 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the market's highest implied probability on that outcome. A stable high-pressure system over central Europe has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation in recent days, allowing daytime heating to exceed June climatological averages of 21–24°C. Key variables include potential shifts in steering flow that could introduce more moisture or alter insolation, plus minor model spread on maximum values between 30–34°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on June 24?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$96,668 Vol.
$96,668 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$96,668 Vol.
$96,668 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Forecast models from agencies like the DWD and ECMWF currently indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Munich on June 24 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, supporting the market's highest implied probability on that outcome. A stable high-pressure system over central Europe has suppressed cloud cover and precipitation in recent days, allowing daytime heating to exceed June climatological averages of 21–24°C. Key variables include potential shifts in steering flow that could introduce more moisture or alter insolation, plus minor model spread on maximum values between 30–34°C. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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