Latest ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS pinpoint Munich's March 22 high temperature tightly between 12-14°C, driving trader consensus with 12°C at 32%, 13°C at 26.5%, and 14°C at 20%. This clustering reflects a mild southwest airflow under a weakening high-pressure ridge, tempered by increasing cloud cover from an approaching frontal boundary, per DWD updates. Historical March maxima in Munich average 11-13°C, but recent model runs show slight upward revisions amid low wind shear minimizing mixing. Key uncertainty lies in diurnal heating peaks and boundary layer stability, with traders pricing a slim edge to cooler outcomes given spring's variable soil moisture feedbacks. Resolution hinges on official DWD observations at Munich Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on March 22?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 22?
12°C 32%
13°C 28%
14°C 13%
11°C 13%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
32%
13°C
28%
14°C
18%
15°C
6%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
2%
12°C 32%
13°C 28%
14°C 13%
11°C 13%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
32%
13°C
28%
14°C
18%
15°C
6%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS pinpoint Munich's March 22 high temperature tightly between 12-14°C, driving trader consensus with 12°C at 32%, 13°C at 26.5%, and 14°C at 20%. This clustering reflects a mild southwest airflow under a weakening high-pressure ridge, tempered by increasing cloud cover from an approaching frontal boundary, per DWD updates. Historical March maxima in Munich average 11-13°C, but recent model runs show slight upward revisions amid low wind shear minimizing mixing. Key uncertainty lies in diurnal heating peaks and boundary layer stability, with traders pricing a slim edge to cooler outcomes given spring's variable soil moisture feedbacks. Resolution hinges on official DWD observations at Munich Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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