Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12-13°C for Munich's March 23 high, driven by the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble forecasts averaging 12.5°C under a mild Atlantic high-pressure ridge boosting temps above the seasonal 10-11°C norm. Leading models diverge modestly: ECMWF leans warmer toward 14°C with clearer skies and southerly flow, while GFS hints at 11°C if cloud bands persist or northerlies strengthen, explaining the razor-thin odds gap. Historical data shows March 23 peaks rarely exceed 16°C, capping upside bets, as small-scale convective uncertainties amplify spread in short-range predictions ahead of 12Z updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月23日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
3月23日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
13°C 28%
12℃ 24%
11°C 19%
14℃ 18%
6°C以下
1%
7°C
2%
8℃
3%
9°C
3%
10℃
10%
11°C
19%
12℃
24%
13°C
28%
14℃
18%
15°C
14%
16℃以上
15%
13°C 28%
12℃ 24%
11°C 19%
14℃ 18%
6°C以下
1%
7°C
2%
8℃
3%
9°C
3%
10℃
10%
11°C
19%
12℃
24%
13°C
28%
14℃
18%
15°C
14%
16℃以上
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12-13°C for Munich's March 23 high, driven by the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble forecasts averaging 12.5°C under a mild Atlantic high-pressure ridge boosting temps above the seasonal 10-11°C norm. Leading models diverge modestly: ECMWF leans warmer toward 14°C with clearer skies and southerly flow, while GFS hints at 11°C if cloud bands persist or northerlies strengthen, explaining the razor-thin odds gap. Historical data shows March 23 peaks rarely exceed 16°C, capping upside bets, as small-scale convective uncertainties amplify spread in short-range predictions ahead of 12Z updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問