Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and DWD output statistics point to a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Munich on September 22 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This positions 17°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, followed closely by 18°C, reflecting the current cool air mass and stable steering pattern. Historical averages for the date stand near 18.8°C, yet recent days have featured cooler-than-normal conditions with highs in the mid-teens Celsius. Model runs show limited spread, with low probability assigned to extremes above 19°C or below 16°C absent any rapid shift in upper-level flow or surface pressure. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
17°C 50%
18℃ 35%
16℃ 10%
19℃ 7%
13°C以下
2%
14°C
3%
15℃
5%
16℃
10%
17°C
50%
18℃
35%
19℃
7%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23℃以上
2%
17°C 50%
18℃ 35%
16℃ 10%
19℃ 7%
13°C以下
2%
14°C
3%
15℃
5%
16℃
10%
17°C
50%
18℃
35%
19℃
7%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and DWD output statistics point to a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Munich on September 22 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This positions 17°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, followed closely by 18°C, reflecting the current cool air mass and stable steering pattern. Historical averages for the date stand near 18.8°C, yet recent days have featured cooler-than-normal conditions with highs in the mid-teens Celsius. Model runs show limited spread, with low probability assigned to extremes above 19°C or below 16°C absent any rapid shift in upper-level flow or surface pressure. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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