Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on June 4?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 4?
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$112,681 Vol.
$112,681 Vol.
2026/06/04
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$112,681 Vol.
$112,681 Vol.
2026/06/04
75°F or below
$296 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,469 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$4,041 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$4,241 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$17,069 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$20,788 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$23,483 Vol.
Yes
88-89°F
$15,575 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$14,258 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$7,029 Vol.
No
94°F or higher
$4,432 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$112,681終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$112,681終了日
2026/06/04マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature of 86–87°F on June 4, 2026, under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dry conditions driven by an early-season warm surge. NOAA model guidance and ensemble runs had converged on this narrow range ahead of the date, with afternoon mixing and minimal cloud cover supporting peak readings in the upper 80s without significant deviations from climatological expectations for early June. This data-driven consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming implied probability for that bin. Only a major revision to station reports or an unforeseen localized anomaly could realistically alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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