Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 60-61°F as New York City's highest temperature on May 2, backed by National Weather Service automated observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), which recorded a peak of 61°F around 6 PM EDT amid overcast skies, northwest winds of 8-12 mph, and unseasonably cool post-frontal conditions. These measurements align with pre-event NOAA forecast guidance projecting highs near 60°F under persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, well below the early May climatological average of 67°F. While final daily climate summaries could theoretically note minor adjustments from quality-controlled data, hourly ASOS readings provide robust evidence against shifts, with realistic challenges limited to rare instrument anomalies or data corrections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on May 2?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 2?
60-61°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$145,790 Vol.
$145,790 Vol.
2026/05/02
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$145,790 Vol.
$145,790 Vol.
2026/05/02
51°F or below
$6,102 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$4,477 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$4,015 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$9,674 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$43,632 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$25,537 Vol.
Yes
62-63°F
$20,102 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$9,687 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$6,217 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$2,927 Vol.
No
70°F or higher
$13,421 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 60-61°F as New York City's highest temperature on May 2, backed by National Weather Service automated observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), which recorded a peak of 61°F around 6 PM EDT amid overcast skies, northwest winds of 8-12 mph, and unseasonably cool post-frontal conditions. These measurements align with pre-event NOAA forecast guidance projecting highs near 60°F under persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, well below the early May climatological average of 67°F. While final daily climate summaries could theoretically note minor adjustments from quality-controlled data, hourly ASOS readings provide robust evidence against shifts, with realistic challenges limited to rare instrument anomalies or data corrections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$145,790終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 60-61°F as New York City's highest temperature on May 2, backed by National Weather Service automated observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), which recorded a peak of 61°F around 6 PM EDT amid overcast skies, northwest winds of 8-12 mph, and unseasonably cool post-frontal conditions. These measurements align with pre-event NOAA forecast guidance projecting highs near 60°F under persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, well below the early May climatological average of 67°F. While final daily climate summaries could theoretically note minor adjustments from quality-controlled data, hourly ASOS readings provide robust evidence against shifts, with realistic challenges limited to rare instrument anomalies or data corrections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$145,790終了日
2026/05/02マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 60-61°F as New York City's highest temperature on May 2, backed by National Weather Service automated observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), which recorded a peak of 61°F around 6 PM EDT amid overcast skies, northwest winds of 8-12 mph, and unseasonably cool post-frontal conditions. These measurements align with pre-event NOAA forecast guidance projecting highs near 60°F under persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, well below the early May climatological average of 67°F. While final daily climate summaries could theoretically note minor adjustments from quality-controlled data, hourly ASOS readings provide robust evidence against shifts, with realistic challenges limited to rare instrument anomalies or data corrections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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