Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 62-63°F high temperature in New York City on May 8, anchored by official National Weather Service observations at the Central Park station (KNYC), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 62-63°F amid partly cloudy skies, northwest winds gusting to 24 mph, and persistent cool air advection from a recent frontal passage. This outcome aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which projected limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions and below-average May temperatures—typically 70-72°F historically. Final resolution awaits the NWS daily climatological report, but preliminary data shows no anomalies; challenges would require rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor errors or unrepresentative readings, deemed negligible by traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on May 8?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 8?
62-63°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$101,022 Vol.
$101,022 Vol.
2026/05/08
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$101,022 Vol.
$101,022 Vol.
2026/05/08
55°F or below
$3,747 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$4,315 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$6,069 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$13,302 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$21,910 Vol.
Yes
64-65°F
$19,271 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$10,096 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$5,939 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$6,882 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,751 Vol.
No
74°F or higher
$4,741 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 62-63°F high temperature in New York City on May 8, anchored by official National Weather Service observations at the Central Park station (KNYC), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 62-63°F amid partly cloudy skies, northwest winds gusting to 24 mph, and persistent cool air advection from a recent frontal passage. This outcome aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which projected limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions and below-average May temperatures—typically 70-72°F historically. Final resolution awaits the NWS daily climatological report, but preliminary data shows no anomalies; challenges would require rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor errors or unrepresentative readings, deemed negligible by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 6, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
音量
$101,022終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 6, 2026, 12:15 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 62-63°F high temperature in New York City on May 8, anchored by official National Weather Service observations at the Central Park station (KNYC), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 62-63°F amid partly cloudy skies, northwest winds gusting to 24 mph, and persistent cool air advection from a recent frontal passage. This outcome aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which projected limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions and below-average May temperatures—typically 70-72°F historically. Final resolution awaits the NWS daily climatological report, but preliminary data shows no anomalies; challenges would require rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor errors or unrepresentative readings, deemed negligible by traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$101,022終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 6, 2026, 12:15 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 62-63°F high temperature in New York City on May 8, anchored by official National Weather Service observations at the Central Park station (KNYC), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 62-63°F amid partly cloudy skies, northwest winds gusting to 24 mph, and persistent cool air advection from a recent frontal passage. This outcome aligns with short-range forecast model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre models, which projected limited daytime heating under stable atmospheric conditions and below-average May temperatures—typically 70-72°F historically. Final resolution awaits the NWS daily climatological report, but preliminary data shows no anomalies; challenges would require rare quality-control revisions uncovering sensor errors or unrepresentative readings, deemed negligible by traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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