**Current forecasts from regional models indicate a high near 31°C for Panama City on September 16, driven by typical early rainy-season conditions with high humidity near 89%, persistent cloud cover, and light variable winds that limit daytime heating.** September averages around 30°C maximum, and recent observations show daytime peaks holding at 26–27°C under cloudy skies with scattered light showers. The market's emphasis on 32°C (44.5%) alongside 31°C (18.5%) and 33°C (23.5%) reflects trader weighting of potential brief clearing or model spread that could add 1–2°C, balanced against ongoing moisture and minimal wind shear. Official guidance notes low precipitation risk during peak heating hours but highlights uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any short-term steering changes. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 16th will refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
32℃ 44%
33℃ 25%
31℃ 19%
29℃ 8%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
1%
27℃
1%
28℃
1%
29℃
8%
30℃
6%
31℃
19%
32℃
44%
33℃
25%
34℃
8%
35℃以上
2%
32℃ 44%
33℃ 25%
31℃ 19%
29℃ 8%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
1%
27℃
1%
28℃
1%
29℃
8%
30℃
6%
31℃
19%
32℃
44%
33℃
25%
34℃
8%
35℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from regional models indicate a high near 31°C for Panama City on September 16, driven by typical early rainy-season conditions with high humidity near 89%, persistent cloud cover, and light variable winds that limit daytime heating.** September averages around 30°C maximum, and recent observations show daytime peaks holding at 26–27°C under cloudy skies with scattered light showers. The market's emphasis on 32°C (44.5%) alongside 31°C (18.5%) and 33°C (23.5%) reflects trader weighting of potential brief clearing or model spread that could add 1–2°C, balanced against ongoing moisture and minimal wind shear. Official guidance notes low precipitation risk during peak heating hours but highlights uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any short-term steering changes. Updated model runs and morning observations on the 16th will refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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