Trader consensus on the 68-69°F outcome for San Francisco’s June 15 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts and the city’s persistent marine-layer influence, which caps daytime temperatures through onshore flow and coastal stratus. June climatology shows average highs near 68-70°F at official stations like KSFO, with fog and upwelling typically suppressing readings above the mid-70s. Pre-event model runs aligned closely with this range, producing minimal dispersion and driving near-certain market pricing. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore flow could have allowed readings into the low 70s, yet no such shift materialized in the final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月15日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
6月15日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
68～69°F 100.0%
65°F以下 <1%
66～67°F <1%
70～71°F <1%
$50,306 Vol.
$50,306 Vol.
2026/06/15
65°F以下
いいえ
66～67°F
いいえ
68～69°F
はい
70～71°F
いいえ
72〜73°F
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76〜77°F
いいえ
78～79°F
いいえ
80～81°F
いいえ
82～83°F
いいえ
華氏84度以上
いいえ
68～69°F 100.0%
65°F以下 <1%
66～67°F <1%
70～71°F <1%
$50,306 Vol.
$50,306 Vol.
2026/06/15
65°F以下
$3,192 Vol.
いいえ
66～67°F
$8,753 Vol.
いいえ
68～69°F
$8,562 Vol.
はい
70～71°F
$4,408 Vol.
いいえ
72〜73°F
$6,469 Vol.
いいえ
74〜75°F
$5,607 Vol.
いいえ
76〜77°F
$3,414 Vol.
いいえ
78～79°F
$5,293 Vol.
いいえ
80～81°F
$2,482 Vol.
いいえ
82～83°F
$1,438 Vol.
いいえ
華氏84度以上
$689 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 68-69°F outcome for San Francisco’s June 15 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts and the city’s persistent marine-layer influence, which caps daytime temperatures through onshore flow and coastal stratus. June climatology shows average highs near 68-70°F at official stations like KSFO, with fog and upwelling typically suppressing readings above the mid-70s. Pre-event model runs aligned closely with this range, producing minimal dispersion and driving near-certain market pricing. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore flow could have allowed readings into the low 70s, yet no such shift materialized in the final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
音量
$50,306終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 68-69°F outcome for San Francisco’s June 15 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts and the city’s persistent marine-layer influence, which caps daytime temperatures through onshore flow and coastal stratus. June climatology shows average highs near 68-70°F at official stations like KSFO, with fog and upwelling typically suppressing readings above the mid-70s. Pre-event model runs aligned closely with this range, producing minimal dispersion and driving near-certain market pricing. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore flow could have allowed readings into the low 70s, yet no such shift materialized in the final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$50,306終了日
2026/06/15マーケット開始日
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on the 68-69°F outcome for San Francisco’s June 15 high reflects National Weather Service forecasts and the city’s persistent marine-layer influence, which caps daytime temperatures through onshore flow and coastal stratus. June climatology shows average highs near 68-70°F at official stations like KSFO, with fog and upwelling typically suppressing readings above the mid-70s. Pre-event model runs aligned closely with this range, producing minimal dispersion and driving near-certain market pricing. A rapid marine-layer erosion or anomalous offshore flow could have allowed readings into the low 70s, yet no such shift materialized in the final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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