Traders are pricing a razor-thin race among 33°C (34.5%), 32°C (32.0%), and 34°C (20.5%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 22, driven primarily by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast of a 33°C peak amid frequent thundery showers during the inter-monsoon transition. This closely mirrors March's historical average maximum of about 32.2°C, elevated slightly by lingering El Niño warmth, but differentiated by afternoon convective activity: early showers could cap peaks at 32°C via cloud cover and downdrafts, while delayed sea breezes might allow 34°C urban heat buildup. Model ensembles like ECMWF show this 1-2°C spread, fueling tight odds as real-time radar updates loom.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
33°C 37%
32°C 33%
34°C 22%
31°C 6%
$33,571 Vol.
$33,571 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
33%
33°C
37%
34°C
22%
35°C or higher
2%
33°C 37%
32°C 33%
34°C 22%
31°C 6%
$33,571 Vol.
$33,571 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
33%
33°C
37%
34°C
22%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing a razor-thin race among 33°C (34.5%), 32°C (32.0%), and 34°C (20.5%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 22, driven primarily by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast of a 33°C peak amid frequent thundery showers during the inter-monsoon transition. This closely mirrors March's historical average maximum of about 32.2°C, elevated slightly by lingering El Niño warmth, but differentiated by afternoon convective activity: early showers could cap peaks at 32°C via cloud cover and downdrafts, while delayed sea breezes might allow 34°C urban heat buildup. Model ensembles like ECMWF show this 1-2°C spread, fueling tight odds as real-time radar updates loom.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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