Trader consensus heavily favors a Tel Aviv high of 18°C (35%) or 17°C (24%), driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS models, which project afternoon peaks around 17-19°C amid mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover on March 22. Israel's Meteorological Service aligns with this, citing seasonal Mediterranean patterns where March averages hover near 19°C but recent cooler air masses have trimmed expectations from prior 20°C+ runs. Urban heat island effects in Tel Aviv could nudge readings up slightly, yet low probabilities for extremes reflect stable barometric pressure and minimal convective activity, with final observational data from Ben Gurion Airport resolving the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 22?
18°C 35%
17°C 26%
19°C 25%
16°C 10%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
26%
18°C
35%
19°C
21%
20°C
8%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 35%
17°C 26%
19°C 25%
16°C 10%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
26%
18°C
35%
19°C
21%
20°C
8%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a Tel Aviv high of 18°C (35%) or 17°C (24%), driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS models, which project afternoon peaks around 17-19°C amid mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover on March 22. Israel's Meteorological Service aligns with this, citing seasonal Mediterranean patterns where March averages hover near 19°C but recent cooler air masses have trimmed expectations from prior 20°C+ runs. Urban heat island effects in Tel Aviv could nudge readings up slightly, yet low probabilities for extremes reflect stable barometric pressure and minimal convective activity, with final observational data from Ben Gurion Airport resolving the market.
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