Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月8日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
5月8日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
19℃ 100.0%
12°C以下 <1%
13℃ <1%
14°C <1%
$84,905 Vol.
$84,905 Vol.
2026/05/08
12°C以下
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18℃
いいえ
19℃
はい
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C以上
いいえ
19℃ 100.0%
12°C以下 <1%
13℃ <1%
14°C <1%
$84,905 Vol.
$84,905 Vol.
2026/05/08
12°C以下
$931 Vol.
いいえ
13℃
$1,471 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$1,582 Vol.
いいえ
15°C
$1,506 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$5,845 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$10,528 Vol.
いいえ
18℃
$18,600 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$13,935 Vol.
はい
20℃
$13,251 Vol.
いいえ
21℃
$10,955 Vol.
いいえ
22°C以上
$6,302 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$84,905終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$84,905終了日
2026/05/08マーケット開始日
May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official hourly observations from Wellington International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground data, confirm a peak temperature of 19°C reached midday on May 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid real-money positioning. Strengthening northerly winds advected warmer air ahead of a deepening low-pressure system approaching the South Island, as noted in MetService updates, allowing this above-average high—versus May norms of 15-16°C—before strong gusts exceeding 70 km/h and light rain capped further warming. Realistic challenges include rare post-finalization data revisions revealing a overlooked higher reading or measurement anomaly, though evening METAR reports show sustained cooling below 20°C with no new model runs anticipated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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