Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois U.S. Senate seat in the March 2026 primary, backed by Governor J.B. Pritzker and state party resources after incumbent Dick Durbin announced his retirement. As lieutenant governor and the establishment choice in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, Stratton enters the general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy with overwhelming advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Trader consensus reflects Illinois’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the race’s trajectory ahead of the November 2026 vote. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,497 Vol.
$25,497 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジュリアナ・ストラットン（民主党）
94%
ドン・トレーシー（共和党）
6%
$25,497 Vol.
$25,497 Vol.
2026/11/03
ジュリアナ・ストラットン（民主党）
$12,850 Vol.
94%
ドン・トレーシー（共和党）
$12,647 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois U.S. Senate seat in the March 2026 primary, backed by Governor J.B. Pritzker and state party resources after incumbent Dick Durbin announced his retirement. As lieutenant governor and the establishment choice in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, Stratton enters the general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy with overwhelming advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Trader consensus reflects Illinois’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the race’s trajectory ahead of the November 2026 vote. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$25,497終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois U.S. Senate seat in the March 2026 primary, backed by Governor J.B. Pritzker and state party resources after incumbent Dick Durbin announced his retirement. As lieutenant governor and the establishment choice in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, Stratton enters the general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy with overwhelming advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Trader consensus reflects Illinois’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the race’s trajectory ahead of the November 2026 vote. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$25,497終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination for the open Illinois U.S. Senate seat in the March 2026 primary, backed by Governor J.B. Pritzker and state party resources after incumbent Dick Durbin announced his retirement. As lieutenant governor and the establishment choice in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, Stratton enters the general election against Republican nominee Don Tracy with overwhelming advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter registration. Trader consensus reflects Illinois’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the race’s trajectory ahead of the November 2026 vote. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national political realignment remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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