Current forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF models indicate a shift to westerly flow and showers over Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, with daytime highs near 18–19°C and overnight lows around 12–14°C. This pattern aligns with typical mid-September climatology, where the average daily minimum is 11°C, though persistent cloud cover and Atlantic moisture reduce radiative cooling potential. Trader-implied odds favoring 18°C or higher as the leading outcome reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minima amid model spread, while probabilities clustered around 12–14°C capture the consensus range. Updated model runs and official briefings from European meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月16日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
9月16日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
18℃以上 91%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
16°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
8℃以下
2%
9℃
38%
10°C
38%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13℃
21%
14°C
24%
15℃
21%
16°C
39%
17℃
38%
18℃以上
91%
18℃以上 91%
12°C 40%
11°C 39%
16°C 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/16
8℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
9℃
$0 Vol.
38%
10°C
$0 Vol.
38%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13℃
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
24%
15℃
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17℃
$0 Vol.
38%
18℃以上
$0 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF models indicate a shift to westerly flow and showers over Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, with daytime highs near 18–19°C and overnight lows around 12–14°C. This pattern aligns with typical mid-September climatology, where the average daily minimum is 11°C, though persistent cloud cover and Atlantic moisture reduce radiative cooling potential. Trader-implied odds favoring 18°C or higher as the leading outcome reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minima amid model spread, while probabilities clustered around 12–14°C capture the consensus range. Updated model runs and official briefings from European meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF models indicate a shift to westerly flow and showers over Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, with daytime highs near 18–19°C and overnight lows around 12–14°C. This pattern aligns with typical mid-September climatology, where the average daily minimum is 11°C, though persistent cloud cover and Atlantic moisture reduce radiative cooling potential. Trader-implied odds favoring 18°C or higher as the leading outcome reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minima amid model spread, while probabilities clustered around 12–14°C capture the consensus range. Updated model runs and official briefings from European meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF models indicate a shift to westerly flow and showers over Amsterdam on September 16, 2026, with daytime highs near 18–19°C and overnight lows around 12–14°C. This pattern aligns with typical mid-September climatology, where the average daily minimum is 11°C, though persistent cloud cover and Atlantic moisture reduce radiative cooling potential. Trader-implied odds favoring 18°C or higher as the leading outcome reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minima amid model spread, while probabilities clustered around 12–14°C capture the consensus range. Updated model runs and official briefings from European meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問