Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 10–11°C for Amsterdam on September 25 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high around 20°C. This aligns with the recent September pattern of above-average temperatures and typical early-autumn minima, though small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or advection could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. The closely matched market odds on the 5°C-or-below and 15°C-or-higher brackets reflect residual uncertainty in model runs two days out, while the clustered probabilities around 9–11°C capture the most likely range based on ensemble consensus and historical climatology for the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のアムステルダムの最低気温は?
5℃以下 100%
15℃以上 98%
7℃ 40%
8℃ 40%
5℃以下
100%
6°C
39%
7℃
40%
8℃
40%
9°C
40%
10℃
39%
11℃
39%
12°C
39%
13℃
39%
14℃
39%
15℃以上
98%
5℃以下 100%
15℃以上 98%
7℃ 40%
8℃ 40%
5℃以下
100%
6°C
39%
7℃
40%
8℃
40%
9°C
40%
10℃
39%
11℃
39%
12°C
39%
13℃
39%
14℃
39%
15℃以上
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 10–11°C for Amsterdam on September 25 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure favoring moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high around 20°C. This aligns with the recent September pattern of above-average temperatures and typical early-autumn minima, though small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or advection could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. The closely matched market odds on the 5°C-or-below and 15°C-or-higher brackets reflect residual uncertainty in model runs two days out, while the clustered probabilities around 9–11°C capture the most likely range based on ensemble consensus and historical climatology for the date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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