Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Amsterdam on September 23, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limit radiative cooling overnight. Model spread remains notable, however, with some runs showing stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that could push the low several degrees lower, while others favor milder conditions near 16–17°C. This uncertainty, typical 48 hours ahead for mid-latitude autumn nights, underpins the balanced market-implied odds between sub-8°C and 17°C-plus outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and KNMI updates for clearer signals on boundary-layer moisture and wind shear.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月23日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
9月23日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
17°C以上 85%
7°C以下 82%
9℃ 29%
8°C 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
7°C以下
82%
8°C
24%
9℃
29%
10℃
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13℃
22%
14℃
21%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C以上
85%
17°C以上 85%
7°C以下 82%
9℃ 29%
8°C 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
7°C以下
$100 Vol.
82%
8°C
$65 Vol.
24%
9℃
$40 Vol.
29%
10℃
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
22%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13℃
$0 Vol.
22%
14℃
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C以上
$100 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Amsterdam on September 23, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limit radiative cooling overnight. Model spread remains notable, however, with some runs showing stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that could push the low several degrees lower, while others favor milder conditions near 16–17°C. This uncertainty, typical 48 hours ahead for mid-latitude autumn nights, underpins the balanced market-implied odds between sub-8°C and 17°C-plus outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and KNMI updates for clearer signals on boundary-layer moisture and wind shear.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$306終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Amsterdam on September 23, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limit radiative cooling overnight. Model spread remains notable, however, with some runs showing stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that could push the low several degrees lower, while others favor milder conditions near 16–17°C. This uncertainty, typical 48 hours ahead for mid-latitude autumn nights, underpins the balanced market-implied odds between sub-8°C and 17°C-plus outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and KNMI updates for clearer signals on boundary-layer moisture and wind shear.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$306終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Amsterdam on September 23, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and light precipitation that limit radiative cooling overnight. Model spread remains notable, however, with some runs showing stronger northerly advection or clearer skies that could push the low several degrees lower, while others favor milder conditions near 16–17°C. This uncertainty, typical 48 hours ahead for mid-latitude autumn nights, underpins the balanced market-implied odds between sub-8°C and 17°C-plus outcomes. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and KNMI updates for clearer signals on boundary-layer moisture and wind shear.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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