Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Milan near 15–16°C on September 25, driven by persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched market-implied extremes of 9°C or below versus 19°C or higher, where trader consensus reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range guidance on cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September minima average around 14°C, but current mild advection from the east and stable 1020–1023 hPa surface pressure favor the middle range, with any increase in low-level humidity or reduced winds potentially lowering the overnight low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のミラノの最低気温は?
19℃以上 98%
9°C以下 50%
14℃ 40%
15℃ 40%
9°C以下
50%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13℃
39%
14℃
40%
15℃
40%
16℃
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19℃以上
98%
19℃以上 98%
9°C以下 50%
14℃ 40%
15℃ 40%
9°C以下
50%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13℃
39%
14℃
40%
15℃
40%
16℃
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19℃以上
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Milan near 15–16°C on September 25, driven by persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome squarely between the closely matched market-implied extremes of 9°C or below versus 19°C or higher, where trader consensus reflects lingering uncertainty in short-range guidance on cloud thickness and boundary-layer moisture. Historical September minima average around 14°C, but current mild advection from the east and stable 1020–1023 hPa surface pressure favor the middle range, with any increase in low-level humidity or reduced winds potentially lowering the overnight low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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