Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and regional outputs points to a daily minimum temperature in Istanbul near 15°C on September 25, driven by clearing skies after mid-week rain and a moderating northeasterly flow under building high pressure. This setup supports the leading market-implied probability for 16°C or higher while capping downside risk from colder advection. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions introduces modest uncertainty in the precise minimum, consistent with typical late-September variability where daily lows range 14–17°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine wind and cloud-cover details that most directly influence the recorded low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
9月25日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
16℃以上 98%
6℃以下 50%
7℃ 40%
8℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
6℃以下
50%
7℃
40%
8℃
40%
9℃
40%
10℃
40%
11°C
40%
12℃
40%
13℃
40%
14℃
40%
15°C
40%
16℃以上
98%
16℃以上 98%
6℃以下 50%
7℃ 40%
8℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
6℃以下
$0 Vol.
50%
7℃
$0 Vol.
40%
8℃
$0 Vol.
40%
9℃
$0 Vol.
40%
10℃
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12℃
$0 Vol.
40%
13℃
$0 Vol.
40%
14℃
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16℃以上
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and regional outputs points to a daily minimum temperature in Istanbul near 15°C on September 25, driven by clearing skies after mid-week rain and a moderating northeasterly flow under building high pressure. This setup supports the leading market-implied probability for 16°C or higher while capping downside risk from colder advection. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions introduces modest uncertainty in the precise minimum, consistent with typical late-September variability where daily lows range 14–17°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine wind and cloud-cover details that most directly influence the recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and regional outputs points to a daily minimum temperature in Istanbul near 15°C on September 25, driven by clearing skies after mid-week rain and a moderating northeasterly flow under building high pressure. This setup supports the leading market-implied probability for 16°C or higher while capping downside risk from colder advection. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions introduces modest uncertainty in the precise minimum, consistent with typical late-September variability where daily lows range 14–17°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine wind and cloud-cover details that most directly influence the recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS and regional outputs points to a daily minimum temperature in Istanbul near 15°C on September 25, driven by clearing skies after mid-week rain and a moderating northeasterly flow under building high pressure. This setup supports the leading market-implied probability for 16°C or higher while capping downside risk from colder advection. Overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions introduces modest uncertainty in the precise minimum, consistent with typical late-September variability where daily lows range 14–17°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine wind and cloud-cover details that most directly influence the recorded low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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