Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a transitional synoptic pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, with a weakening cold front and northerly flow moderating temperatures after cooler conditions on September 23. Overnight lows for September 24 are currently projected in the 13–15°C range by consensus guidance, supported by surface observations and ensemble means showing limited cold-air advection. This setup accounts for the tight market split between sub-8°C and above-16°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias on boundary-layer mixing could push the daily minimum across key thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and local meteorological services will provide the next resolution signals ahead of the period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月24日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
9月24日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
7℃以下 100%
17℃以上 98%
8℃ 40%
9℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/24
7℃以下
100%
8℃
40%
9℃
40%
10°C
40%
11℃
40%
12℃
40%
13℃
40%
14°C
40%
15℃
40%
16°C
40%
17℃以上
98%
7℃以下 100%
17℃以上 98%
8℃ 40%
9℃ 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/24
7℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
8℃
$0 Vol.
40%
9℃
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11℃
$0 Vol.
40%
12℃
$0 Vol.
40%
13℃
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15℃
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17℃以上
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a transitional synoptic pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, with a weakening cold front and northerly flow moderating temperatures after cooler conditions on September 23. Overnight lows for September 24 are currently projected in the 13–15°C range by consensus guidance, supported by surface observations and ensemble means showing limited cold-air advection. This setup accounts for the tight market split between sub-8°C and above-16°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias on boundary-layer mixing could push the daily minimum across key thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and local meteorological services will provide the next resolution signals ahead of the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/24マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a transitional synoptic pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, with a weakening cold front and northerly flow moderating temperatures after cooler conditions on September 23. Overnight lows for September 24 are currently projected in the 13–15°C range by consensus guidance, supported by surface observations and ensemble means showing limited cold-air advection. This setup accounts for the tight market split between sub-8°C and above-16°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias on boundary-layer mixing could push the daily minimum across key thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and local meteorological services will provide the next resolution signals ahead of the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/24マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a transitional synoptic pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, with a weakening cold front and northerly flow moderating temperatures after cooler conditions on September 23. Overnight lows for September 24 are currently projected in the 13–15°C range by consensus guidance, supported by surface observations and ensemble means showing limited cold-air advection. This setup accounts for the tight market split between sub-8°C and above-16°C outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind direction, or model bias on boundary-layer mixing could push the daily minimum across key thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like ECMWF and local meteorological services will provide the next resolution signals ahead of the period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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