Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 14, with southwest winds, high humidity near 85-90%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, supporting a lowest temperature near 18°C. This aligns with the broader warm, humid pattern persisting from recent days rather than typical early-September minima around 13-15°C. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for 18°C reflects this model agreement and the absence of incoming cooler air masses. A faster-clearing sky or unexpected northerly shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower, though current steering patterns and pressure fields make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月14日のロンドンの最低気温は？
18℃ 96%
17℃ 4%
15℃ <1%
16℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
12℃以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
4%
18℃
96%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃以上
<1%
18℃ 96%
17℃ 4%
15℃ <1%
16℃ <1%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
12℃以下
$161 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$88 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$125 Vol.
1%
16℃
$472 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$3,751 Vol.
4%
18℃
$1,691 Vol.
96%
19°C
$2,691 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
22℃以上
$75 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 14, with southwest winds, high humidity near 85-90%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, supporting a lowest temperature near 18°C. This aligns with the broader warm, humid pattern persisting from recent days rather than typical early-September minima around 13-15°C. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for 18°C reflects this model agreement and the absence of incoming cooler air masses. A faster-clearing sky or unexpected northerly shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower, though current steering patterns and pressure fields make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$9,363終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 14, with southwest winds, high humidity near 85-90%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, supporting a lowest temperature near 18°C. This aligns with the broader warm, humid pattern persisting from recent days rather than typical early-September minima around 13-15°C. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for 18°C reflects this model agreement and the absence of incoming cooler air masses. A faster-clearing sky or unexpected northerly shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower, though current steering patterns and pressure fields make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,363終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Met Office and GFS model runs indicate a mild overnight period for London on September 14, with southwest winds, high humidity near 85-90%, and cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, supporting a lowest temperature near 18°C. This aligns with the broader warm, humid pattern persisting from recent days rather than typical early-September minima around 13-15°C. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for 18°C reflects this model agreement and the absence of incoming cooler air masses. A faster-clearing sky or unexpected northerly shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower, though current steering patterns and pressure fields make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問