Uncertainty from the active southwest monsoon and nearby tropical systems like Pilandok drives balanced trader odds between unusually cool (21°C or below) and warm (31°C or higher) minimums for Manila on September 3. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing evaporative effects, typically anchoring lows near the 25–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA guidance highlights moderate-to-heavy rain risks through Thursday, with model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity creating the near-even split across mid-range outcomes like 25–28°C. Updated forecasts and any monsoon strengthening will likely shift the close market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のマニラの最低気温は？
9月3日のマニラの最低気温は？
21℃以下 69%
31°C以上 69%
23°C 48%
29°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
21℃以下
69%
22℃
20%
23°C
48%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26℃
27%
27℃
28%
28℃
25%
29°C
48%
30°C
20%
31°C以上
69%
21℃以下 69%
31°C以上 69%
23°C 48%
29°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
21℃以下
$5 Vol.
69%
22℃
$5 Vol.
20%
23°C
$5 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26℃
$0 Vol.
27%
27℃
$0 Vol.
28%
28℃
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$5 Vol.
48%
30°C
$5 Vol.
20%
31°C以上
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty from the active southwest monsoon and nearby tropical systems like Pilandok drives balanced trader odds between unusually cool (21°C or below) and warm (31°C or higher) minimums for Manila on September 3. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing evaporative effects, typically anchoring lows near the 25–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA guidance highlights moderate-to-heavy rain risks through Thursday, with model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity creating the near-even split across mid-range outcomes like 25–28°C. Updated forecasts and any monsoon strengthening will likely shift the close market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$30終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty from the active southwest monsoon and nearby tropical systems like Pilandok drives balanced trader odds between unusually cool (21°C or below) and warm (31°C or higher) minimums for Manila on September 3. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing evaporative effects, typically anchoring lows near the 25–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA guidance highlights moderate-to-heavy rain risks through Thursday, with model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity creating the near-even split across mid-range outcomes like 25–28°C. Updated forecasts and any monsoon strengthening will likely shift the close market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$30終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETUncertainty from the active southwest monsoon and nearby tropical systems like Pilandok drives balanced trader odds between unusually cool (21°C or below) and warm (31°C or higher) minimums for Manila on September 3. Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall reduce nocturnal radiative cooling while enhancing evaporative effects, typically anchoring lows near the 25–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA guidance highlights moderate-to-heavy rain risks through Thursday, with model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity creating the near-even split across mid-range outcomes like 25–28°C. Updated forecasts and any monsoon strengthening will likely shift the close market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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