Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日のモスクワの最低気温は？
9月13日のモスクワの最低気温は？
6℃ 95%
4℃ 28.2%
2℃以下 5.9%
3℃ <1%
$3,475 Vol.
$3,475 Vol.
2026/09/13
2℃以下
いいえ
3℃
いいえ
4℃
いいえ
5℃
いいえ
6℃
はい
7℃
いいえ
8℃
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12°C以上
いいえ
6℃ 95%
4℃ 28.2%
2℃以下 5.9%
3℃ <1%
$3,475 Vol.
$3,475 Vol.
2026/09/13
2℃以下
$0 Vol.
いいえ
3℃
$65 Vol.
いいえ
4℃
$5 Vol.
いいえ
5℃
$125 Vol.
いいえ
6℃
$709 Vol.
はい
7℃
$232 Vol.
いいえ
8℃
$217 Vol.
いいえ
9℃
$133 Vol.
いいえ
10℃
$0 Vol.
いいえ
11°C
$1,975 Vol.
いいえ
12°C以上
$15 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$3,475終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,475終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 6°C in Moscow on September 13 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation expected. Model consensus, including GFS runs, aligns closely with this projection, consistent with typical early September climatology for the region where overnight minima often settle near 6–8°C. The market's 95% implied probability on 6°C reflects strong trader confidence in these authoritative data and limited forecast spread. A realistic challenge could arise from unanticipated shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns that either enhance radiative cooling or introduce warmer advection, potentially altering the exact minimum by 1–2°C before final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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