**Trader consensus centers on a 25–26°C overnight low for Shenzhen on September 18, with market-implied probabilities tightly split at 46% for 25°C and 54% for 26°C.** Official forecasts and station data show temperatures holding near 26°C through the early morning hours under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and high humidity (80–85%) that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where typical overnight minima range 25–27°C absent stronger cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences. The close spread between the leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while the 45% probability assigned to 21°C or below captures tail-risk scenarios from an unexpected frontal passage or heavier rain that could enhance cooling. Updated model runs and local meteorological bureau briefings on wind and humidity trends remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月18日の深センの最低気温は？
9月18日の深センの最低気温は？
21℃以下 90%
24℃ 20%
23°C 10%
22℃ 6.8%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
21℃以下
90%
22℃
7%
23°C
10%
24℃
20%
25℃
-
26℃
-
27℃
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
21℃以下 90%
24℃ 20%
23°C 10%
22℃ 6.8%
新規
新規
2026/09/18
21℃以下
$0 Vol.
90%
22℃
$41 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24℃
$25 Vol.
20%
25℃
$343 Vol.
-
26℃
$81 Vol.
-
27℃
$73 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$31 Vol.
<1%
31℃以上
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 25–26°C overnight low for Shenzhen on September 18, with market-implied probabilities tightly split at 46% for 25°C and 54% for 26°C.** Official forecasts and station data show temperatures holding near 26°C through the early morning hours under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and high humidity (80–85%) that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where typical overnight minima range 25–27°C absent stronger cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences. The close spread between the leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while the 45% probability assigned to 21°C or below captures tail-risk scenarios from an unexpected frontal passage or heavier rain that could enhance cooling. Updated model runs and local meteorological bureau briefings on wind and humidity trends remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$697終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 25–26°C overnight low for Shenzhen on September 18, with market-implied probabilities tightly split at 46% for 25°C and 54% for 26°C.** Official forecasts and station data show temperatures holding near 26°C through the early morning hours under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and high humidity (80–85%) that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where typical overnight minima range 25–27°C absent stronger cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences. The close spread between the leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while the 45% probability assigned to 21°C or below captures tail-risk scenarios from an unexpected frontal passage or heavier rain that could enhance cooling. Updated model runs and local meteorological bureau briefings on wind and humidity trends remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$697終了日
2026/09/18マーケット開始日
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on a 25–26°C overnight low for Shenzhen on September 18, with market-implied probabilities tightly split at 46% for 25°C and 54% for 26°C.** Official forecasts and station data show temperatures holding near 26°C through the early morning hours under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and high humidity (80–85%) that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta, where typical overnight minima range 25–27°C absent stronger cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences. The close spread between the leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while the 45% probability assigned to 21°C or below captures tail-risk scenarios from an unexpected frontal passage or heavier rain that could enhance cooling. Updated model runs and local meteorological bureau briefings on wind and humidity trends remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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