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政治·プライマリ

MA -06民主党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

MA -06民主党予備選挙優勝者

ダン・コー 76%

トラム・グエン 4.5%

ドミニック・パンガロ 3.1%

ジョン・ベチア 2.6%

Polymarket

$34,839 Vol.

ダン・コー 76%

トラム・グエン 4.5%

ドミニック・パンガロ 3.1%

ジョン・ベチア 2.6%

Polymarket

$34,839 Vol.

ダン・コー

$3,951 Vol.

76%

トラム・グエン

$4,154 Vol.

5%

ドミニック・パンガロ

$5,905 Vol.

3%

ジョン・ベチア

$1,667 Vol.

3%

マライア・ランカスター

$1,881 Vol.

2%

ディアン・スラヴィット・ベイリス

$4,970 Vol.

2%

セス・モールトン

$1,722 Vol.

2%

リック・ジャキオウス

$3,392 Vol.

1%

ケビン・ラリービー

$1,444 Vol.

1%

ジェイミー・ザラウェイ・ベルシト

$2,124 Vol.

1%

ベス・アンドレス＝ベック

$1,562 Vol.

<1%

レイチェル・クレーマーズ

$2,067 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh's commanding 76% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary stems from his dominant early positioning in the open-seat race created by Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate bid against Ed Markey. As a former Biden White House deputy and Marty Walsh aide, Koh has secured high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and IBEW Local 2222, while raising over $200,000 in January alone—outpacing rivals' combined totals—and becoming the first candidate to qualify for the September 1 ballot by gathering more than 2,000 signatures in late March. In this crowded field of nine Democrats, including state Rep. Tram Nguyen and self-funded fintech executive John Beccia, Koh's fundraising edge and establishment support reflect trader consensus on his frontrunner status, though additional qualifiers and forums could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$34,839
終了日
2026/09/15
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh's commanding 76% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary stems from his dominant early positioning in the open-seat race created by Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate bid against Ed Markey. As a former Biden White House deputy and Marty Walsh aide, Koh has secured high-profile endorsements from Pete Buttigieg, Kamala Harris, and IBEW Local 2222, while raising over $200,000 in January alone—outpacing rivals' combined totals—and becoming the first candidate to qualify for the September 1 ballot by gathering more than 2,000 signatures in late March. In this crowded field of nine Democrats, including state Rep. Tram Nguyen and self-funded fintech executive John Beccia, Koh's fundraising edge and establishment support reflect trader consensus on his frontrunner status, though additional qualifiers and forums could shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$34,839
終了日
2026/09/15
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「MA -06民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ダン・コー」で76%、次いで「トラム・グエン」が5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、76¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に76%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「MA -06民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$34.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「MA -06民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MA -06民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ダン・コー」で76%であり、市場がこの結果に76%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「トラム・グエン」で5%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MA -06民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。