Preliminary flight-tracking data from sources like FlightAware reports over 7,000 U.S. flights delayed on March 27, aligning trader consensus heavily toward the >6,000 outcome at 81.5% implied probability. FAA's daily airspace report cited high winds disrupting operations at key East Coast airports including EWR, JFK, LGA, and PHL, exacerbating nationwide delays amid peak spring break travel volume and persistent TSA staffing shortages tied to ongoing federal funding constraints. These factors echo mid-March storm aftermaths that spiked delays above 7,000 on multiple days, with traders pricing in low risk of significant downward revision in final Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies while assigning minimal odds to lower brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?
>6,000 97.0%
5,500-6,000 1.6%
5,000-5,500 1.5%
4,500-5,000 <1%
$7,434 Vol.
$7,434 Vol.
<3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
<1%
4,500-5,000
<1%
5,000-5,500
2%
5,500-6,000
2%
>6,000
97%
>6,000 97.0%
5,500-6,000 1.6%
5,000-5,500 1.5%
4,500-5,000 <1%
$7,434 Vol.
$7,434 Vol.
<3,000
<1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
<1%
4,500-5,000
<1%
5,000-5,500
2%
5,500-6,000
2%
>6,000
97%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
マーケット開始日: Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary flight-tracking data from sources like FlightAware reports over 7,000 U.S. flights delayed on March 27, aligning trader consensus heavily toward the >6,000 outcome at 81.5% implied probability. FAA's daily airspace report cited high winds disrupting operations at key East Coast airports including EWR, JFK, LGA, and PHL, exacerbating nationwide delays amid peak spring break travel volume and persistent TSA staffing shortages tied to ongoing federal funding constraints. These factors echo mid-March storm aftermaths that spiked delays above 7,000 on multiple days, with traders pricing in low risk of significant downward revision in final Bureau of Transportation Statistics tallies while assigning minimal odds to lower brackets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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