**Strong post-Venice critical reception has lifted trader expectations for "Primetime,"** pushing the implied probability of a 22M+ opening weekend to 64.5%. A24’s Robert Pattinson-led thriller, which premiered in competition at the Venice Film Festival in early September, earned generally favorable reviews (Metacritic 70) with widespread praise for Pattinson’s uncanny, high-wire performance as Chris Hansen. This buzz has shifted sentiment above early tracking estimates of $10–15M, despite a crowded September 25 frame that includes Brad Pitt’s "Heart of the Beast" and other newcomers. Traders appear to be pricing in A24’s recent opening momentum and Pattinson’s 2026 draw, though the film’s R-rated subject matter and modest presales remain swing factors ahead of the wide release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「プライムタイム」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「プライムタイム」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
2,200万ドル以上 65%
1,900万〜2,200万ドル 34%
1,600万〜1,900万ドル 1.4%
1,300万～1,600万ドル <1%
$43,179 Vol.
$43,179 Vol.
2026/09/27
1,000万未満
<1%
1,000万〜1,300万ドル
1%
1,300万～1,600万ドル
1%
1,600万〜1,900万ドル
1%
1,900万〜2,200万ドル
34%
2,200万ドル以上
65%
2,200万ドル以上 65%
1,900万〜2,200万ドル 34%
1,600万〜1,900万ドル 1.4%
1,300万～1,600万ドル <1%
$43,179 Vol.
$43,179 Vol.
2026/09/27
1,000万未満
$3,665 Vol.
<1%
1,000万〜1,300万ドル
$4,653 Vol.
1%
1,300万～1,600万ドル
$6,532 Vol.
1%
1,600万〜1,900万ドル
$5,303 Vol.
1%
1,900万〜2,200万ドル
$11,038 Vol.
34%
2,200万ドル以上
$11,988 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong post-Venice critical reception has lifted trader expectations for "Primetime,"** pushing the implied probability of a 22M+ opening weekend to 64.5%. A24’s Robert Pattinson-led thriller, which premiered in competition at the Venice Film Festival in early September, earned generally favorable reviews (Metacritic 70) with widespread praise for Pattinson’s uncanny, high-wire performance as Chris Hansen. This buzz has shifted sentiment above early tracking estimates of $10–15M, despite a crowded September 25 frame that includes Brad Pitt’s "Heart of the Beast" and other newcomers. Traders appear to be pricing in A24’s recent opening momentum and Pattinson’s 2026 draw, though the film’s R-rated subject matter and modest presales remain swing factors ahead of the wide release.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
音量
$43,179終了日
2026/09/27マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong post-Venice critical reception has lifted trader expectations for "Primetime,"** pushing the implied probability of a 22M+ opening weekend to 64.5%. A24’s Robert Pattinson-led thriller, which premiered in competition at the Venice Film Festival in early September, earned generally favorable reviews (Metacritic 70) with widespread praise for Pattinson’s uncanny, high-wire performance as Chris Hansen. This buzz has shifted sentiment above early tracking estimates of $10–15M, despite a crowded September 25 frame that includes Brad Pitt’s "Heart of the Beast" and other newcomers. Traders appear to be pricing in A24’s recent opening momentum and Pattinson’s 2026 draw, though the film’s R-rated subject matter and modest presales remain swing factors ahead of the wide release.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$43,179終了日
2026/09/27マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Strong post-Venice critical reception has lifted trader expectations for "Primetime,"** pushing the implied probability of a 22M+ opening weekend to 64.5%. A24’s Robert Pattinson-led thriller, which premiered in competition at the Venice Film Festival in early September, earned generally favorable reviews (Metacritic 70) with widespread praise for Pattinson’s uncanny, high-wire performance as Chris Hansen. This buzz has shifted sentiment above early tracking estimates of $10–15M, despite a crowded September 25 frame that includes Brad Pitt’s "Heart of the Beast" and other newcomers. Traders appear to be pricing in A24’s recent opening momentum and Pattinson’s 2026 draw, though the film’s R-rated subject matter and modest presales remain swing factors ahead of the wide release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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