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サンタクルス州知事選挙の勝者(ボリビア)

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サンタクルス州知事選挙の勝者(ボリビア)

フアン・パブロ・ベラスコ 77.6%

オットー・リッター 20.3%

フアン・カルロス・メドラノ <1%

マウリシオ・ケサダ <1%

Polymarket

$798,870 Vol.

フアン・パブロ・ベラスコ 77.6%

オットー・リッター 20.3%

フアン・カルロス・メドラノ <1%

マウリシオ・ケサダ <1%

Polymarket

$798,870 Vol.

フアン・パブロ・ベラスコ

$335,387 Vol.

78%

オットー・リッター

$106,353 Vol.

20%

フアン・カルロス・メドラノ

$26,745 Vol.

<1%

マウリシオ・ケサダ

$21,893 Vol.

<1%

チ・ヒュンチュン

$26,234 Vol.

<1%

フリオ・セサル・トーレス

$26,347 Vol.

<1%

グイド・エドゥアルド・ナヤル

$50,705 Vol.

<1%

ミゲル・カディマ

$23,254 Vol.

<1%

ウラジミール・ペーニャ

$38,716 Vol.

<1%

ルイス・フェルナンド・カマチョ

$143,235 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Juan Pablo Velasco's commanding 77% trader consensus in the Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff stems from a recent Ipsos CiesMori poll for Unitel showing him ahead of Otto Ritter by 8.9 points (43.6% to approximately 34.7%), with 15% undecided voters potentially consolidating behind the frontrunner. Following the March 22 first-round results—where Velasco narrowly led Ritter at 28.4% to 26.7%, advancing past incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—the TED Santa Cruz confirmed the ballotage on April 6 after re-votes in 105 precincts. An April 12 debate highlighted policy contrasts on mining royalties and technology but elicited no polling shifts, positioning Velasco as the favorite ahead of the April 19 decisive vote under Bolivia's subnational runoff rules.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
音量
$798,870
終了日
2026/04/19
マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Juan Pablo Velasco's commanding 77% trader consensus in the Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff stems from a recent Ipsos CiesMori poll for Unitel showing him ahead of Otto Ritter by 8.9 points (43.6% to approximately 34.7%), with 15% undecided voters potentially consolidating behind the frontrunner. Following the March 22 first-round results—where Velasco narrowly led Ritter at 28.4% to 26.7%, advancing past incumbent Luis Fernando Camacho—the TED Santa Cruz confirmed the ballotage on April 6 after re-votes in 105 precincts. An April 12 debate highlighted policy contrasts on mining royalties and technology but elicited no polling shifts, positioning Velasco as the favorite ahead of the April 19 decisive vote under Bolivia's subnational runoff rules.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
音量
$798,870
終了日
2026/04/19
マーケット開始日
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

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よくある質問

「サンタクルス州知事選挙の勝者(ボリビア)」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「フアン・パブロ・ベラスコ」で78%、次いで「オットー・リッター」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「サンタクルス州知事選挙の勝者(ボリビア)」は$798.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「サンタクルス州知事選挙の勝者(ボリビア)」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「サンタクルス州知事選挙の勝者(ボリビア)」の現在のフロントランナーは「フアン・パブロ・ベラスコ」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「オットー・リッター」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「サンタクルス州知事選挙の勝者(ボリビア)」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。