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テキサス州民主党上院の一次勝利率(小括弧)

Market icon

テキサス州民主党上院の一次勝利率(小括弧)

タラリコ 6.0–6.5% 98.1%

タラリコ 5.5–6.0% <1%

タラリコ 6.5–7.0% <1%

タラリコ 8.5–9.0% <1%

Polymarket

$71,391 Vol.

タラリコ 6.0–6.5% 98.1%

タラリコ 5.5–6.0% <1%

タラリコ 6.5–7.0% <1%

タラリコ 8.5–9.0% <1%

Polymarket

$71,391 Vol.

タラリコ 10%以上

$2,757 Vol.

<1%

タラリコ 9.5~10.0%

$0 Vol.

<1%

タラリコ 9.0~9.5%

$2,210 Vol.

<1%

タラリコ 8.5–9.0%

$2,364 Vol.

<1%

タラリコ 8.0〜8.5%

$1,842 Vol.

<1%

タラリコ 7.5~8.0%

$0 Vol.

<1%

タラリコ 7.0–7.5%

$6,062 Vol.

<1%

タラリコ 6.5–7.0%

$14,096 Vol.

<1%

タラリコ 6.0–6.5%

$31,890 Vol.

98%

タラリコ 5.5–6.0%

$6,048 Vol.

1%

タラリコ 5.0~5.5%

$2,328 Vol.

<1%

タラリコ <5%

$1,793 Vol.

<1%

Primary elections in Texas took place on March 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If any outcome other than the listed options occurs, or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$71,391
終了日
Nov 30, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
Primary elections in Texas took place on March 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If any outcome other than the listed options occurs, or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「テキサス州民主党上院の一次勝利率(小括弧)」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「タラリコ 6.0–6.5%」で98%、次いで「タラリコ 5.5–6.0%」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「テキサス州民主党上院の一次勝利率(小括弧)」は$71.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 4, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「テキサス州民主党上院の一次勝利率(小括弧)」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「テキサス州民主党上院の一次勝利率(小括弧)」の現在のフロントランナーは「タラリコ 6.0–6.5%」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「タラリコ 5.5–6.0%」で1%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「テキサス州民主党上院の一次勝利率(小括弧)」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。