Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 77% trader consensus for victory in Toronto's October 26 municipal election, driven by her incumbency advantage and strong March polls showing leads of 35–44% over challengers amid high undecideds, bolstered by recent high-profile withdrawals. Former Mayor John Tory's March 3 announcement ruling out a comeback shifted dynamics in her favor, while Provincial Minister Michael Ford's April 2 confirmation he won't run further consolidates support behind Chow by eliminating a potential right-leaning contender. City Councillor Brad Bradford, declaring himself "all in" on March 4 with emphasis on core services, trails at 11% as the primary challenger, followed by former Deputy Mayor Ana Bailão at 6%; lingering speculation keeps Tory at 2.6% despite his statement. No major developments have emerged in the past two weeks, leaving Chow positioned strongly ahead of campaign ramp-up.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Olivia Chow 77%
Brad Bradford 11%
Ana Bailão 6%
John Tory 2.7%
Olivia Chow
77%
Brad Bradford
11%
Ana Bailão
6%
John Tory
3%
Kevin Clarke
2%
Michael Ford
2%
Anthony Furey
1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
Olivia Chow 77%
Brad Bradford 11%
Ana Bailão 6%
John Tory 2.7%
Olivia Chow
77%
Brad Bradford
11%
Ana Bailão
6%
John Tory
3%
Kevin Clarke
2%
Michael Ford
2%
Anthony Furey
1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands 77% trader consensus for victory in Toronto's October 26 municipal election, driven by her incumbency advantage and strong March polls showing leads of 35–44% over challengers amid high undecideds, bolstered by recent high-profile withdrawals. Former Mayor John Tory's March 3 announcement ruling out a comeback shifted dynamics in her favor, while Provincial Minister Michael Ford's April 2 confirmation he won't run further consolidates support behind Chow by eliminating a potential right-leaning contender. City Councillor Brad Bradford, declaring himself "all in" on March 4 with emphasis on core services, trails at 11% as the primary challenger, followed by former Deputy Mayor Ana Bailão at 6%; lingering speculation keeps Tory at 2.6% despite his statement. No major developments have emerged in the past two weeks, leaving Chow positioned strongly ahead of campaign ramp-up.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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