**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program while it possesses the Russian S-400 air defense system, per CAATSA sanctions and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which require Secretaries of State and Defense certification that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.** Trump administration signals in June–July 2026, including presidential remarks alongside Erdogan at the NATO summit in Ankara and Pentagon reviews, raised prospects for sanctions relief and engine sales approvals, while Turkish officials reported positive Washington meetings and working-group progress on options such as third-country transfers. However, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met statutory conditions, leaving the S-400 issue unresolved as of late August. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balance, and the need for transparent resolution continue to shape timelines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,461 Vol.
2026/12/31
2026年12月31日
10%
2027年6月30日
28%
$43,461 Vol.
2026年12月31日
$31,959 Vol.
10%
2027年6月30日
$11,502 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program while it possesses the Russian S-400 air defense system, per CAATSA sanctions and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which require Secretaries of State and Defense certification that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.**
Trump administration signals in June–July 2026, including presidential remarks alongside Erdogan at the NATO summit in Ankara and Pentagon reviews, raised prospects for sanctions relief and engine sales approvals, while Turkish officials reported positive Washington meetings and working-group progress on options such as third-country transfers. However, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met statutory conditions, leaving the S-400 issue unresolved as of late August. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balance, and the need for transparent resolution continue to shape timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
音量
$43,461終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program while it possesses the Russian S-400 air defense system, per CAATSA sanctions and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which require Secretaries of State and Defense certification that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.**
Trump administration signals in June–July 2026, including presidential remarks alongside Erdogan at the NATO summit in Ankara and Pentagon reviews, raised prospects for sanctions relief and engine sales approvals, while Turkish officials reported positive Washington meetings and working-group progress on options such as third-country transfers. However, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met statutory conditions, leaving the S-400 issue unresolved as of late August. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balance, and the need for transparent resolution continue to shape timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
音量
$43,461終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**US law bars Turkey from rejoining the F-35 program while it possesses the Russian S-400 air defense system, per CAATSA sanctions and Section 1245 of the FY2020 NDAA, which require Secretaries of State and Defense certification that Ankara no longer holds the system or related equipment and provides credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions.** Trump administration signals in June–July 2026, including presidential remarks alongside Erdogan at the NATO summit in Ankara and Pentagon reviews, raised prospects for sanctions relief and engine sales approvals, while Turkish officials reported positive Washington meetings and working-group progress on options such as third-country transfers. However, a July 22 State Department letter confirmed Turkey has not met statutory conditions, leaving the S-400 issue unresolved as of late August. Congressional opposition, concerns from Israel and Greece over regional balance, and the need for transparent resolution continue to shape timelines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問