Simone Venturini leads trader consensus in the Venice mayoral election set for May 24-25, 2026, with implied 53.5% odds for outright first-round victory, buoyed by his role as outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's tourism and social cohesion assessor, ensuring centre-right coalition unity from Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, and Forza Italia. Recent polls, including Demetra surveys, position him ahead at around 36-54% in first-round scenarios, bolstered by April 8 list unveilings and debates clashing with challenger Andrea Martella on security, short-term rentals, and port issues. Martella's 37.5% reflects centre-left (PD-led) consolidation but trails amid fragmented opposition; minor candidates like Michele Boldrin trail far behind, underscoring a tight bipolar contest potentially heading to runoff absent a 50% threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 3.4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
Simone Venturini
54%
Andrea Martella
38%
Michele Boldrin
3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 3.4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
Simone Venturini
54%
Andrea Martella
38%
Michele Boldrin
3%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
マーケット開始日： Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Simone Venturini leads trader consensus in the Venice mayoral election set for May 24-25, 2026, with implied 53.5% odds for outright first-round victory, buoyed by his role as outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's tourism and social cohesion assessor, ensuring centre-right coalition unity from Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, and Forza Italia. Recent polls, including Demetra surveys, position him ahead at around 36-54% in first-round scenarios, bolstered by April 8 list unveilings and debates clashing with challenger Andrea Martella on security, short-term rentals, and port issues. Martella's 37.5% reflects centre-left (PD-led) consolidation but trails amid fragmented opposition; minor candidates like Michele Boldrin trail far behind, underscoring a tight bipolar contest potentially heading to runoff absent a 50% threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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