Ongoing vote counting after Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election shows Keiko Fujimori solidly leading at around 17% with over 90% of ONPE ballots processed, but second place remains razor-thin between right-wing Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) and leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), fueling trader uncertainty. Logistical delays, extended voting, fraud allegations from López Aliaga, and protests demanding a rerun have slowed certification, amplifying risks of shifts from remaining rural votes. In a fragmented field of over 35 candidates, pre-election polls consistently positioned Fujimori and López Aliaga as top contenders, sustaining 38.5% implied probability for their runoff pairing, while "Other" at 61.4% reflects the contested dynamics and potential for unlisted combinations ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日その他 61.3%
ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ 40%
フジモリ & ニエト <1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ <1%
$988,061 Vol.
$988,061 Vol.
その他
61%
ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ
40%
フジモリ & ニエト
1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ニエト
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&フジモリ
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&ニエト
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&サンチェス・パロミノ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&サンチェス・パロミノ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&グロッツォ
<1%
その他 61.3%
ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ 40%
フジモリ & ニエト <1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ <1%
$988,061 Vol.
$988,061 Vol.
その他
61%
ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ
40%
フジモリ & ニエト
1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ニエト
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&フジモリ
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&ニエト
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&サンチェス・パロミノ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&サンチェス・パロミノ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&グロッツォ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing vote counting after Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election shows Keiko Fujimori solidly leading at around 17% with over 90% of ONPE ballots processed, but second place remains razor-thin between right-wing Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) and leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), fueling trader uncertainty. Logistical delays, extended voting, fraud allegations from López Aliaga, and protests demanding a rerun have slowed certification, amplifying risks of shifts from remaining rural votes. In a fragmented field of over 35 candidates, pre-election polls consistently positioned Fujimori and López Aliaga as top contenders, sustaining 38.5% implied probability for their runoff pairing, while "Other" at 61.4% reflects the contested dynamics and potential for unlisted combinations ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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