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2026年ペルー大統領選挙の決選投票に進む候補者は?

Market icon

2026年ペルー大統領選挙の決選投票に進む候補者は?

その他 61.3%

ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ 40%

フジモリ & ニエト <1%

ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ <1%

Polymarket

$988,061 Vol.

その他 61.3%

ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ 40%

フジモリ & ニエト <1%

ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ <1%

Polymarket

$988,061 Vol.

その他

$249,457 Vol.

61%

ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ

$326,628 Vol.

40%

フジモリ & ニエト

$199,100 Vol.

1%

ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ

$24,017 Vol.

<1%

ロペス・アリアガ&ニエト

$32,793 Vol.

<1%

ロペス・チャウ&フジモリ

$67,800 Vol.

<1%

ロペス・チャウ&ニエト

$16,487 Vol.

<1%

ロペス・チャウ&サンチェス・パロミノ

$24,264 Vol.

<1%

ロペス・アリアガ&サンチェス・パロミノ

$37,670 Vol.

<1%

ロペス・アリアガ&グロッツォ

$9,953 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Ongoing vote counting after Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election shows Keiko Fujimori solidly leading at around 17% with over 90% of ONPE ballots processed, but second place remains razor-thin between right-wing Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) and leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), fueling trader uncertainty. Logistical delays, extended voting, fraud allegations from López Aliaga, and protests demanding a rerun have slowed certification, amplifying risks of shifts from remaining rural votes. In a fragmented field of over 35 candidates, pre-election polls consistently positioned Fujimori and López Aliaga as top contenders, sustaining 38.5% implied probability for their runoff pairing, while "Other" at 61.4% reflects the contested dynamics and potential for unlisted combinations ahead of the June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
音量
$988,061
終了日
2026/04/12
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Ongoing vote counting after Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election shows Keiko Fujimori solidly leading at around 17% with over 90% of ONPE ballots processed, but second place remains razor-thin between right-wing Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%) and leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), fueling trader uncertainty. Logistical delays, extended voting, fraud allegations from López Aliaga, and protests demanding a rerun have slowed certification, amplifying risks of shifts from remaining rural votes. In a fragmented field of over 35 candidates, pre-election polls consistently positioned Fujimori and López Aliaga as top contenders, sustaining 38.5% implied probability for their runoff pairing, while "Other" at 61.4% reflects the contested dynamics and potential for unlisted combinations ahead of the June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
音量
$988,061
終了日
2026/04/12
マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election. If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).

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よくある質問

「2026年ペルー大統領選挙の決選投票に進む候補者は?」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「その他」で61%、次いで「ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ」が40%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、61¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に61%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年ペルー大統領選挙の決選投票に進む候補者は?」は$988.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年ペルー大統領選挙の決選投票に進む候補者は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年ペルー大統領選挙の決選投票に進む候補者は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「その他」で61%であり、市場がこの結果に61%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ」で40%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年ペルー大統領選挙の決選投票に進む候補者は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。