Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's ongoing first-round presidential vote count at around 17% with over 80% of ballots tallied, but the battle for second place—needed for the June 7 runoff—remains tight among Rafael López Aliaga, leftist Roberto Sánchez, and Jorge Nieto, each hovering near 10-12%. Ballot delays and extended voting from April 12-13 have fueled fraud claims without evidence, prolonging uncertainty in the fragmented field of 35 candidates. Trader consensus prices the López Aliaga-Fujimori pairing at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting their pre-election polling strength, while "Other" at 60.9% captures risks of Sánchez or Nieto surging as rural and overseas votes finalize, underscoring the closely contested nature of advancement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日その他 60.8%
ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ 39%
フジモリ & ニエト <1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ <1%
$978,556 Vol.
$978,556 Vol.
その他
61%
ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ
39%
フジモリ & ニエト
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ニエト
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&フジモリ
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&ニエト
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&サンチェス・パロミノ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&サンチェス・パロミノ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&グロッツォ
<1%
その他 60.8%
ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ 39%
フジモリ & ニエト <1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ <1%
$978,556 Vol.
$978,556 Vol.
その他
61%
ロペス・アリアガ&フジモリ
39%
フジモリ & ニエト
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ロペス・チャウ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&ニエト
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&フジモリ
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&ニエト
<1%
ロペス・チャウ&サンチェス・パロミノ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&サンチェス・パロミノ
<1%
ロペス・アリアガ&グロッツォ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's ongoing first-round presidential vote count at around 17% with over 80% of ballots tallied, but the battle for second place—needed for the June 7 runoff—remains tight among Rafael López Aliaga, leftist Roberto Sánchez, and Jorge Nieto, each hovering near 10-12%. Ballot delays and extended voting from April 12-13 have fueled fraud claims without evidence, prolonging uncertainty in the fragmented field of 35 candidates. Trader consensus prices the López Aliaga-Fujimori pairing at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting their pre-election polling strength, while "Other" at 60.9% captures risks of Sánchez or Nieto surging as rural and overseas votes finalize, underscoring the closely contested nature of advancement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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