OpenAI’s explicit decision to delay its IPO until 2027, citing AI safety and alignment priorities amid regulatory scrutiny, has anchored trader consensus that Anthropic will list first. Anthropic filed its confidential S-1 on June 1, 2026, ahead of OpenAI, and is now targeting a November 2026 Nasdaq debut after shifting from an October window to showcase stronger third-quarter results. Its annualized revenue run rate has surged past $100 billion, supporting expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s higher cash burn, infrastructure commitments, and lack of investor meetings reinforce the timeline gap. While market volatility or extended SEC review could still push Anthropic later, current filings and executive statements make a reversal unlikely before late 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？
AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？
Anthropic
96% 確率
$383,793 Vol.
$383,793 Vol.
2027/12/31
Anthropic
96% 確率
$383,793 Vol.
$383,793 Vol.
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s explicit decision to delay its IPO until 2027, citing AI safety and alignment priorities amid regulatory scrutiny, has anchored trader consensus that Anthropic will list first. Anthropic filed its confidential S-1 on June 1, 2026, ahead of OpenAI, and is now targeting a November 2026 Nasdaq debut after shifting from an October window to showcase stronger third-quarter results. Its annualized revenue run rate has surged past $100 billion, supporting expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s higher cash burn, infrastructure commitments, and lack of investor meetings reinforce the timeline gap. While market volatility or extended SEC review could still push Anthropic later, current filings and executive statements make a reversal unlikely before late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
音量
$383,793終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s explicit decision to delay its IPO until 2027, citing AI safety and alignment priorities amid regulatory scrutiny, has anchored trader consensus that Anthropic will list first. Anthropic filed its confidential S-1 on June 1, 2026, ahead of OpenAI, and is now targeting a November 2026 Nasdaq debut after shifting from an October window to showcase stronger third-quarter results. Its annualized revenue run rate has surged past $100 billion, supporting expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s higher cash burn, infrastructure commitments, and lack of investor meetings reinforce the timeline gap. While market volatility or extended SEC review could still push Anthropic later, current filings and executive statements make a reversal unlikely before late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$383,793終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s explicit decision to delay its IPO until 2027, citing AI safety and alignment priorities amid regulatory scrutiny, has anchored trader consensus that Anthropic will list first. Anthropic filed its confidential S-1 on June 1, 2026, ahead of OpenAI, and is now targeting a November 2026 Nasdaq debut after shifting from an October window to showcase stronger third-quarter results. Its annualized revenue run rate has surged past $100 billion, supporting expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. OpenAI’s higher cash burn, infrastructure commitments, and lack of investor meetings reinforce the timeline gap. While market volatility or extended SEC review could still push Anthropic later, current filings and executive statements make a reversal unlikely before late 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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