Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including recent investor meetings and revenue scaling toward $100 billion annualized, combined with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's September confirmation that a 2026 listing would be ill-advised amid AI safety priorities, underpin the 94.6% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic listing first. Both companies filed confidential S-1 paperwork earlier this year, yet Anthropic's public benefit corporation structure and targeted November window position it ahead, while OpenAI eyes 2027 to address alignment concerns with its large language models. Traders recognize that sudden market shifts, regulatory hurdles, or faster OpenAI safety resolutions could still alter the outcome before either debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？
AnthropicまたはOpenAIが最初にIPOしますか？
Anthropic
95% 確率
$384,627 Vol.
$384,627 Vol.
2027/12/31
Anthropic
95% 確率
$384,627 Vol.
$384,627 Vol.
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including recent investor meetings and revenue scaling toward $100 billion annualized, combined with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's September confirmation that a 2026 listing would be ill-advised amid AI safety priorities, underpin the 94.6% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic listing first. Both companies filed confidential S-1 paperwork earlier this year, yet Anthropic's public benefit corporation structure and targeted November window position it ahead, while OpenAI eyes 2027 to address alignment concerns with its large language models. Traders recognize that sudden market shifts, regulatory hurdles, or faster OpenAI safety resolutions could still alter the outcome before either debut.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
音量
$384,627終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including recent investor meetings and revenue scaling toward $100 billion annualized, combined with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's September confirmation that a 2026 listing would be ill-advised amid AI safety priorities, underpin the 94.6% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic listing first. Both companies filed confidential S-1 paperwork earlier this year, yet Anthropic's public benefit corporation structure and targeted November window position it ahead, while OpenAI eyes 2027 to address alignment concerns with its large language models. Traders recognize that sudden market shifts, regulatory hurdles, or faster OpenAI safety resolutions could still alter the outcome before either debut.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$384,627終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's accelerated IPO preparations, including recent investor meetings and revenue scaling toward $100 billion annualized, combined with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's September confirmation that a 2026 listing would be ill-advised amid AI safety priorities, underpin the 94.6% market-implied odds favoring Anthropic listing first. Both companies filed confidential S-1 paperwork earlier this year, yet Anthropic's public benefit corporation structure and targeted November window position it ahead, while OpenAI eyes 2027 to address alignment concerns with its large language models. Traders recognize that sudden market shifts, regulatory hurdles, or faster OpenAI safety resolutions could still alter the outcome before either debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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