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icon for トランプ氏は4月17日のTPUSAイベントで踊りますか?

トランプ氏は4月17日のTPUSAイベントで踊りますか?

icon for トランプ氏は4月17日のTPUSAイベントで踊りますか?

トランプ氏は4月17日のTPUSAイベントで踊りますか?

はい

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$13,342 Vol.

はい

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$13,342 Vol.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. President Trump's longstanding tradition of concluding speeches with his signature fist-pump dance moves, often to "YMCA," has driven near-certain trader consensus at 99.6% for "Yes" on this market, reinforced by live footage from the Turning Point USA "Build the Red Wall" event in Arizona on April 17. Videos from outlets like One America News captured him performing the routine immediately after his remarks to an enthusiastic crowd, mirroring past appearances such as AmericaFest in Phoenix. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects the event's completion and visual confirmation, though resolution hinges on precise verification of timing and qualifying motion within the official event window. Only late-disputed footage or narrow definitional challenges could shift odds at this stage.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
音量
$13,342
終了日
2026/04/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. President Trump's longstanding tradition of concluding speeches with his signature fist-pump dance moves, often to "YMCA," has driven near-certain trader consensus at 99.6% for "Yes" on this market, reinforced by live footage from the Turning Point USA "Build the Red Wall" event in Arizona on April 17. Videos from outlets like One America News captured him performing the routine immediately after his remarks to an enthusiastic crowd, mirroring past appearances such as AmericaFest in Phoenix. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects the event's completion and visual confirmation, though resolution hinges on precise verification of timing and qualifying motion within the official event window. Only late-disputed footage or narrow definitional challenges could shift odds at this stage.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
音量
$13,342
終了日
2026/04/17
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. (https://www.fox10phoenix.com/news/president-donald-trump-visit-phoenix-april-turning-point-usa-event). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Turning Point USA event in Arizona on April 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ氏は4月17日のTPUSAイベントで踊りますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプは4月17日のTPUSAイベントで踊りますか?」で100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ氏は4月17日のTPUSAイベントで踊りますか?」は$13.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ氏は4月17日のTPUSAイベントで踊りますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ氏は4月17日のTPUSAイベントで踊りますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「トランプは4月17日のTPUSAイベントで踊りますか?」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ氏は4月17日のTPUSAイベントで踊りますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。