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icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

$1,870,343 Vol.

2026/05/31
Polymarket

$1,870,343 Vol.

Polymarket

May 1

$233,270 Vol.

Yes

May 2

$2,193 Vol.

No

May 3

$3,829 Vol.

No

May 4

$2,172 Vol.

No

May 5

$4,943 Vol.

Yes

May 6

$1,288 Vol.

No

May 7

$3,825 Vol.

No

May 8

$2,895 Vol.

No

May 9

$2,709 Vol.

No

May 10

$2,023 Vol.

No

May 11

$2,556 Vol.

No

May 12

$3,052 Vol.

No

May 13

$3,699 Vol.

No

May 14

$1,180 Vol.

No

May 15

$1,210 Vol.

No

May 16

$1,736 Vol.

No

May 17

$23,805 Vol.

No

May 18

$8,315 Vol.

No

May 19

$1,676 Vol.

Yes

May 20

$4,082 Vol.

No

May 21

$4,359 Vol.

No

May 22

$42,882 Vol.

Yes

May 23

$4,763 Vol.

No

May 24

$2,279 Vol.

No

May 25

$1,470,354 Vol.

No

May 26

$6,786 Vol.

No

May 27

$5,213 Vol.

No

May 28

$4,533 Vol.

No

May 29

$4,443 Vol.

No

May 30

$7,886 Vol.

No

May 31

$6,389 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump’s signature “YMCA” routine has become a reliable crowd-pleaser at rallies and White House events, with multiple documented performances in May 2026 at a South Lawn fitness test and a New York campaign stop. Trader sentiment for the current “Will Trump dance on…?” window reflects the absence of a scheduled high-energy appearance likely to trigger the move, pushing Yes shares to single digits despite the precedent of spontaneous dancing. The market’s heavy volume on No underscores how quickly the outcome hinges on whether music or stage cues appear before resolution, a pattern consistent with earlier resolved markets that settled quickly once the day’s schedule was clear.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
音量
$1,870,343
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump’s signature “YMCA” routine has become a reliable crowd-pleaser at rallies and White House events, with multiple documented performances in May 2026 at a South Lawn fitness test and a New York campaign stop. Trader sentiment for the current “Will Trump dance on…?” window reflects the absence of a scheduled high-energy appearance likely to trigger the move, pushing Yes shares to single digits despite the precedent of spontaneous dancing. The market’s heavy volume on No underscores how quickly the outcome hinges on whether music or stage cues appear before resolution, a pattern consistent with earlier resolved markets that settled quickly once the day’s schedule was clear.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
音量
$1,870,343
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will Trump dance on...?」はPolymarket上の31個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「May 1」で100%、次いで「May 5」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Trump dance on...?」は$1.9 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 28, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Trump dance on...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている31個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will Trump dance on...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「May 1」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「May 5」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will Trump dance on...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。