Diplomatic momentum for additional recognitions of Israel remains limited ahead of the June 30 resolution date. As of early 2026, 163 UN member states already extend formal recognition, leaving 29 holdouts, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members such as Saudi Arabia, which continues to condition normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state. Recent bilateral talks, including U.S.-facilitated trilateral meetings with Lebanon, have produced no recognition announcements. Pakistan has explicitly ruled out consideration of ties absent a satisfactory two-state resolution. With scant confirmed breakthroughs in the past 30 days and the short remaining window, trader sentiment centers on the low likelihood of new sovereign recognitions materializing before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$437,280 Vol.
北朝鮮
<1%
キューバ
1%
サウジアラビア
1%
レバノン
3%
アフガニスタン
1%
イラク
1%
パキスタン
1%
シリア
2%
ベネズエラ
1%
チュニジア
2%
クウェート
2%
カタール
<1%
インドネシア
1%
マレーシア
<1%
バングラデシュ
1%
$437,280 Vol.
北朝鮮
<1%
キューバ
1%
サウジアラビア
1%
レバノン
3%
アフガニスタン
1%
イラク
1%
パキスタン
1%
シリア
2%
ベネズエラ
1%
チュニジア
2%
クウェート
2%
カタール
<1%
インドネシア
1%
マレーシア
<1%
バングラデシュ
1%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic momentum for additional recognitions of Israel remains limited ahead of the June 30 resolution date. As of early 2026, 163 UN member states already extend formal recognition, leaving 29 holdouts, primarily Arab League and Organization of Islamic Cooperation members such as Saudi Arabia, which continues to condition normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state. Recent bilateral talks, including U.S.-facilitated trilateral meetings with Lebanon, have produced no recognition announcements. Pakistan has explicitly ruled out consideration of ties absent a satisfactory two-state resolution. With scant confirmed breakthroughs in the past 30 days and the short remaining window, trader sentiment centers on the low likelihood of new sovereign recognitions materializing before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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