Recent diplomatic engagements between the US and China, including the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing and the formal invitation extended for a reciprocal state visit, form the core driver behind the elevated trader consensus on an early arrival. Chinese officials have confirmed the September 24, 2026 date, aligning with the UN General Assembly window, while Trump has reiterated expectations publicly in July statements. These developments mark the first such high-level US visit in over a decade and reflect ongoing efforts to stabilize bilateral relations amid trade and security talks. With the scheduled timeline falling well before 2027 and no reported cancellations, implied probabilities reflect the concrete scheduling and reciprocal diplomatic commitments now in place.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$586,484 Vol.
$586,484 Vol.
はい
$586,484 Vol.
$586,484 Vol.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic engagements between the US and China, including the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing and the formal invitation extended for a reciprocal state visit, form the core driver behind the elevated trader consensus on an early arrival. Chinese officials have confirmed the September 24, 2026 date, aligning with the UN General Assembly window, while Trump has reiterated expectations publicly in July statements. These developments mark the first such high-level US visit in over a decade and reflect ongoing efforts to stabilize bilateral relations amid trade and security talks. With the scheduled timeline falling well before 2027 and no reported cancellations, implied probabilities reflect the concrete scheduling and reciprocal diplomatic commitments now in place.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問