Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) holds a strong position in California's 22nd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, bolstered by superior fundraising and his pragmatic record in the Central Valley battleground, newly redrawn under Proposition 50 to heighten competitiveness. Democratic challengers, including Assemblywoman Jasmeet Bains and Kern County Supervisor Randy Villegas, lead their party's field in endorsements and media attention but face a divided electorate without a state party nod, potentially splitting the vote and allowing Valadao to secure one of two general election spots. No public polls have emerged since late 2025; trader sentiment weighs incumbency advantages against Democratic turnout in Kern and Tulare counties amid low early enthusiasm.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.06.02
David Valadao
94%
Randy Villegas
54%
Jasmeet Bains
38%
Chris Mathys
9%
Rudy Salas
5%
$963 거래량
David Valadao
$334 거래량
94%
Randy Villegas
$228 거래량
54%
Jasmeet Bains
$73 거래량
38%
Chris Mathys
$0 거래량
9%
Rudy Salas
$327 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) holds a strong position in California's 22nd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, bolstered by superior fundraising and his pragmatic record in the Central Valley battleground, newly redrawn under Proposition 50 to heighten competitiveness. Democratic challengers, including Assemblywoman Jasmeet Bains and Kern County Supervisor Randy Villegas, lead their party's field in endorsements and media attention but face a divided electorate without a state party nod, potentially splitting the vote and allowing Valadao to secure one of two general election spots. No public polls have emerged since late 2025; trader sentiment weighs incumbency advantages against Democratic turnout in Kern and Tulare counties amid low early enthusiasm.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET
거래량
$963종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) holds a strong position in California's 22nd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, bolstered by superior fundraising and his pragmatic record in the Central Valley battleground, newly redrawn under Proposition 50 to heighten competitiveness. Democratic challengers, including Assemblywoman Jasmeet Bains and Kern County Supervisor Randy Villegas, lead their party's field in endorsements and media attention but face a divided electorate without a state party nod, potentially splitting the vote and allowing Valadao to secure one of two general election spots. No public polls have emerged since late 2025; trader sentiment weighs incumbency advantages against Democratic turnout in Kern and Tulare counties amid low early enthusiasm.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$963종료일
2026.06.02마켓 개설일
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) holds a strong position in California's 22nd Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, bolstered by superior fundraising and his pragmatic record in the Central Valley battleground, newly redrawn under Proposition 50 to heighten competitiveness. Democratic challengers, including Assemblywoman Jasmeet Bains and Kern County Supervisor Randy Villegas, lead their party's field in endorsements and media attention but face a divided electorate without a state party nod, potentially splitting the vote and allowing Valadao to secure one of two general election spots. No public polls have emerged since late 2025; trader sentiment weighs incumbency advantages against Democratic turnout in Kern and Tulare counties amid low early enthusiasm.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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