Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former state governor and his consistent polling advantage in Ipsos-Ipec surveys from early June, where he reaches 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33%. Traders price Ciro at 75.5% on the basis of this first-round momentum and favorable runoff scenarios, reflecting voter desire for change amid economic and security concerns. Elmano benefits from a positively rated administration but faces challenges building personal identification with voters and overcoming Ciro’s regional recall. Other candidates including Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in available surveys, limiting their market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 10%
카밀루 산타나 2.1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$74,092 거래량
$74,092 거래량
2026.10.04
Ciro Gomes
76%
Elmano de Freitas
10%
카밀루 산타나
2%
Roberto Cláudio
1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 76%
Elmano de Freitas 10%
카밀루 산타나 2.1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$74,092 거래량
$74,092 거래량
2026.10.04
Ciro Gomes
$43,983 거래량
76%
Elmano de Freitas
$10,666 거래량
10%
카밀루 산타나
$4,561 거래량
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$4,208 거래량
1%
Eduardo Girão
$5,159 거래량
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$6,293 거래량
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former state governor and his consistent polling advantage in Ipsos-Ipec surveys from early June, where he reaches 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33%. Traders price Ciro at 75.5% on the basis of this first-round momentum and favorable runoff scenarios, reflecting voter desire for change amid economic and security concerns. Elmano benefits from a positively rated administration but faces challenges building personal identification with voters and overcoming Ciro’s regional recall. Other candidates including Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in available surveys, limiting their market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
거래량
$74,092종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former state governor and his consistent polling advantage in Ipsos-Ipec surveys from early June, where he reaches 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33%. Traders price Ciro at 75.5% on the basis of this first-round momentum and favorable runoff scenarios, reflecting voter desire for change amid economic and security concerns. Elmano benefits from a positively rated administration but faces challenges building personal identification with voters and overcoming Ciro’s regional recall. Other candidates including Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in available surveys, limiting their market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
거래량
$74,092종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former state governor and his consistent polling advantage in Ipsos-Ipec surveys from early June, where he reaches 44% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 33%. Traders price Ciro at 75.5% on the basis of this first-round momentum and favorable runoff scenarios, reflecting voter desire for change amid economic and security concerns. Elmano benefits from a positively rated administration but faces challenges building personal identification with voters and overcoming Ciro’s regional recall. Other candidates including Camilo Santana, Roberto Cláudio, Eduardo Girão, and Capitão Wagner register minimal support in available surveys, limiting their market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote remains the key resolution trigger.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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