Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, closely trailed by 280-299 (23.6%) and 320-339 (22.1%), reflecting his steady pace of roughly 35-50 posts per day tracked through April 13—42 on the 10th, 22 on the 11th, 53 on the 12th, and 35 on the 13th, totaling 152 in the first four days. This positions the market tightly around 300 total posts over eight days, driven by Musk's habitual high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary amid no major disruptions like outages or controversies in the past week. With three days left including today (April 16) and tomorrow, any surge in viral moments or replies could push toward 320+, while quieter periods might dip below 300; watch for real-time X activity as the period nears close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트300~319 46%
280~299 25.3%
320-339 22.1%
340~359 5.3%
$10,059,088 거래량
$10,059,088 거래량
2026.04.17
260~279
1%
280~299
25%
300~319
46%
320-339
22%
340~359
5%
360-379
2%
380-399
<1%
400~419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480~499
<1%
500~519
<1%
520~539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580+
<1%
300~319 46%
280~299 25.3%
320-339 22.1%
340~359 5.3%
$10,059,088 거래량
$10,059,088 거래량
2026.04.17
260~279
$610,302 거래량
1%
280~299
$435,455 거래량
25%
300~319
$343,845 거래량
46%
320-339
$446,222 거래량
22%
340~359
$372,364 거래량
5%
360-379
$393,115 거래량
2%
380-399
$339,512 거래량
<1%
400~419
$413,096 거래량
<1%
420-439
$427,954 거래량
<1%
440-459
$483,526 거래량
<1%
460-479
$342,850 거래량
<1%
480~499
$329,750 거래량
<1%
500~519
$264,248 거래량
<1%
520~539
$266,477 거래량
<1%
540-559
$270,374 거래량
<1%
560~579
$188,742 거래량
<1%
580+
$354,007 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, closely trailed by 280-299 (23.6%) and 320-339 (22.1%), reflecting his steady pace of roughly 35-50 posts per day tracked through April 13—42 on the 10th, 22 on the 11th, 53 on the 12th, and 35 on the 13th, totaling 152 in the first four days. This positions the market tightly around 300 total posts over eight days, driven by Musk's habitual high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary amid no major disruptions like outages or controversies in the past week. With three days left including today (April 16) and tomorrow, any surge in viral moments or replies could push toward 320+, while quieter periods might dip below 300; watch for real-time X activity as the period nears close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$10,059,088종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, closely trailed by 280-299 (23.6%) and 320-339 (22.1%), reflecting his steady pace of roughly 35-50 posts per day tracked through April 13—42 on the 10th, 22 on the 11th, 53 on the 12th, and 35 on the 13th, totaling 152 in the first four days. This positions the market tightly around 300 total posts over eight days, driven by Musk's habitual high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary amid no major disruptions like outages or controversies in the past week. With three days left including today (April 16) and tomorrow, any surge in viral moments or replies could push toward 320+, while quieter periods might dip below 300; watch for real-time X activity as the period nears close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$10,059,088종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, 2026, closely trailed by 280-299 (23.6%) and 320-339 (22.1%), reflecting his steady pace of roughly 35-50 posts per day tracked through April 13—42 on the 10th, 22 on the 11th, 53 on the 12th, and 35 on the 13th, totaling 152 in the first four days. This positions the market tightly around 300 total posts over eight days, driven by Musk's habitual high-volume engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, xAI developments, and political commentary amid no major disruptions like outages or controversies in the past week. With three days left including today (April 16) and tomorrow, any surge in viral moments or replies could push toward 320+, while quieter periods might dip below 300; watch for real-time X activity as the period nears close.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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