Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17 at 34.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game expectations of a final-day acceleration after an early surge of 172 posts in the first three days (57 daily average) slowed to 249 total through six days elapsed, per the latest tracker sync early April 16. The closely contested race—320-339 at 26.7% and 280-299 at 19.4%—hinges on Musk's habitual bursts during viral moments like Tesla FSD demos or SpaceX updates, versus a steadier 42/day pace projecting around 291. With under 33 hours remaining until April 17 noon ET resolution, any engagement spike from breaking news could tip the scales toward higher bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트320-339 30.3%
300~319 30%
340~359 16.3%
280~299 12.0%
$9,392,885 거래량
$9,392,885 거래량
2026.04.17
240~259
<1%
260~279
2%
280~299
12%
300~319
30%
320-339
30%
340~359
16%
360-379
6%
380-399
2%
400~419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480~499
<1%
500~519
<1%
520~539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560~579
<1%
580+
<1%
320-339 30.3%
300~319 30%
340~359 16.3%
280~299 12.0%
$9,392,885 거래량
$9,392,885 거래량
2026.04.17
240~259
$824,483 거래량
<1%
260~279
$499,540 거래량
2%
280~299
$393,391 거래량
12%
300~319
$323,140 거래량
30%
320-339
$414,140 거래량
30%
340~359
$325,948 거래량
16%
360-379
$319,778 거래량
6%
380-399
$291,316 거래량
2%
400~419
$263,129 거래량
1%
420-439
$361,651 거래량
<1%
440-459
$480,489 거래량
<1%
460-479
$340,844 거래량
<1%
480~499
$329,745 거래량
<1%
500~519
$264,243 거래량
<1%
520~539
$266,472 거래량
<1%
540-559
$265,369 거래량
<1%
560~579
$183,737 거래량
<1%
580+
$349,002 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17 at 34.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game expectations of a final-day acceleration after an early surge of 172 posts in the first three days (57 daily average) slowed to 249 total through six days elapsed, per the latest tracker sync early April 16. The closely contested race—320-339 at 26.7% and 280-299 at 19.4%—hinges on Musk's habitual bursts during viral moments like Tesla FSD demos or SpaceX updates, versus a steadier 42/day pace projecting around 291. With under 33 hours remaining until April 17 noon ET resolution, any engagement spike from breaking news could tip the scales toward higher bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$9,392,885종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17 at 34.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game expectations of a final-day acceleration after an early surge of 172 posts in the first three days (57 daily average) slowed to 249 total through six days elapsed, per the latest tracker sync early April 16. The closely contested race—320-339 at 26.7% and 280-299 at 19.4%—hinges on Musk's habitual bursts during viral moments like Tesla FSD demos or SpaceX updates, versus a steadier 42/day pace projecting around 291. With under 33 hours remaining until April 17 noon ET resolution, any engagement spike from breaking news could tip the scales toward higher bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$9,392,885종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to April 17 at 34.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game expectations of a final-day acceleration after an early surge of 172 posts in the first three days (57 daily average) slowed to 249 total through six days elapsed, per the latest tracker sync early April 16. The closely contested race—320-339 at 26.7% and 280-299 at 19.4%—hinges on Musk's habitual bursts during viral moments like Tesla FSD demos or SpaceX updates, versus a steadier 42/day pace projecting around 291. With under 33 hours remaining until April 17 noon ET resolution, any engagement spike from breaking news could tip the scales toward higher bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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