The closely matched trader consensus in the FL-13 House race reflects uncertainty ahead of the August 18 primaries that will set the general election matchup for November 3. Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna faces a primary challenge from Courtney Offutt, while Democrats are advancing candidates including Leela Gray amid active early fundraising. District ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as leaning Republican based on its partisan voting index, yet limited public polling shows competitive head-to-head results between leading contenders. With no major recent legislative, endorsement, or scandal developments shifting momentum, the balance of probabilities hinges on primary outcomes, candidate positioning on local issues, and broader midterm turnout patterns that could narrow or widen the gap before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
46%
Democratic Party
56%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$221 거래량
46%
Democratic Party
$832 거래량
56%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely matched trader consensus in the FL-13 House race reflects uncertainty ahead of the August 18 primaries that will set the general election matchup for November 3. Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna faces a primary challenge from Courtney Offutt, while Democrats are advancing candidates including Leela Gray amid active early fundraising. District ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as leaning Republican based on its partisan voting index, yet limited public polling shows competitive head-to-head results between leading contenders. With no major recent legislative, endorsement, or scandal developments shifting momentum, the balance of probabilities hinges on primary outcomes, candidate positioning on local issues, and broader midterm turnout patterns that could narrow or widen the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
거래량
$1,053종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely matched trader consensus in the FL-13 House race reflects uncertainty ahead of the August 18 primaries that will set the general election matchup for November 3. Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna faces a primary challenge from Courtney Offutt, while Democrats are advancing candidates including Leela Gray amid active early fundraising. District ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as leaning Republican based on its partisan voting index, yet limited public polling shows competitive head-to-head results between leading contenders. With no major recent legislative, endorsement, or scandal developments shifting momentum, the balance of probabilities hinges on primary outcomes, candidate positioning on local issues, and broader midterm turnout patterns that could narrow or widen the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,053종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched trader consensus in the FL-13 House race reflects uncertainty ahead of the August 18 primaries that will set the general election matchup for November 3. Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna faces a primary challenge from Courtney Offutt, while Democrats are advancing candidates including Leela Gray amid active early fundraising. District ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as leaning Republican based on its partisan voting index, yet limited public polling shows competitive head-to-head results between leading contenders. With no major recent legislative, endorsement, or scandal developments shifting momentum, the balance of probabilities hinges on primary outcomes, candidate positioning on local issues, and broader midterm turnout patterns that could narrow or widen the gap before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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