Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid in Florida's 13th Congressional District, rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 59%, reflecting her 2024 victory margin of 54.8% and strong Q1 2026 fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand. A crowded Democratic primary featuring nine candidates, including Earle Ford and Leela Gray as top fundraisers, fragments opposition efforts despite national House Democrats targeting the Pinellas County battleground for pickup potential. No recent polls exist, but Luna faces minimal Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries, bolstering her path to the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
27%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$145 거래량
72%
Democratic Party
$0 거래량
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid in Florida's 13th Congressional District, rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 59%, reflecting her 2024 victory margin of 54.8% and strong Q1 2026 fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand. A crowded Democratic primary featuring nine candidates, including Earle Ford and Leela Gray as top fundraisers, fragments opposition efforts despite national House Democrats targeting the Pinellas County battleground for pickup potential. No recent polls exist, but Luna faces minimal Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries, bolstering her path to the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
거래량
$145종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid in Florida's 13th Congressional District, rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 59%, reflecting her 2024 victory margin of 54.8% and strong Q1 2026 fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand. A crowded Democratic primary featuring nine candidates, including Earle Ford and Leela Gray as top fundraisers, fragments opposition efforts despite national House Democrats targeting the Pinellas County battleground for pickup potential. No recent polls exist, but Luna faces minimal Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries, bolstering her path to the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$145종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid in Florida's 13th Congressional District, rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 59%, reflecting her 2024 victory margin of 54.8% and strong Q1 2026 fundraising with over $1.3 million cash on hand. A crowded Democratic primary featuring nine candidates, including Earle Ford and Leela Gray as top fundraisers, fragments opposition efforts despite national House Democrats targeting the Pinellas County battleground for pickup potential. No recent polls exist, but Luna faces minimal Republican primary challengers ahead of the August 18 primaries, bolstering her path to the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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